Manifold Creator
Hamish Low
@HamishLow
Markets by Hamish Low
Will a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?
$2K13 tradersopen
16%
Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?
$2K4 tradersopen
—
Will the ban on new onshore wind development in England be lifted by the end of 2024?
$1K14 tradersResolved
90%
Will Rishi Sunak succesfully implement his Northern Ireland Protocol deal?
$7528 tradersResolved
91%
Will the ban on new onshore wind development in England be lifted by the end of 2023?
$5758 tradersResolved
90%
Will Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?
$5656 tradersopen
34%
China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?
$2205 tradersopen
54%
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
$1574 tradersopen
48%
Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
$101 tradersopen
45%