Manifold Creator
Haven
@HWH
Markets by Haven
Will SB 1047 survive this legislative session such that the bill makes it to Governor Newsom’s desk?
$209K37 tradersResolved
98%
Will the CEO of Crowdstrike (George Kurtz) resign or get fired in 2024 due to the global tech outages?
$93K77 tradersResolved
1%
Which action will Governor Newsom take regarding SB 1047? (Sign, Veto, or Let Deadline Pass)
$92K52 tradersResolved
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In the next 6 months, will it be publicly confirmed that Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike are working on a project together?
$22K64 tradersResolved
1%
Will Kelsey Piper receive a Pulitzer Prize related to her coverage on any AI company/lab within the next 10 years?
$11K34 tradersopen
15%
Will it rain at Manifest 2024?
$9K28 tradersResolved
97%
Will I get to a 100 day streak on Manifold in May 2024?
$6K17 tradersResolved
98%
In 6 months, will it be confirmed that Ilya Sutskever and Leopold Aschenbrenner are working on a project together?
$3K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will Max Harms release the full Crystal trilogy in audiobook form by end of Q3 2024?
$3K16 tradersResolved
95%
Will there be a second season of “Dune: Prophecy” announced by the end of 2025?
$2578 tradersResolved
49%
Will I be able to salvage the sad banana bread into something presentable to give to Max Harms for Valentine’s Day?
$2216 tradersResolved
88%