Manifold Creator

Guy Cohen

@GuyCohen

Markets by Guy Cohen

What will happen as a result of the ICE shooting in Minneapolis in the next 30 days?

$78K479 tradersResolved

Will Donald Trump win every contest in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primary?

$31K84 tradersResolved
0%

Will Lauren Boebert be the Republican nominee in CO-04?

$24K47 tradersResolved
99%

Will Fani Willis be removed as Fulton County DA before the end of 2024?

$13K51 tradersResolved
4%

Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?

$11K14 tradersopen
4%

Will Donald Trump win every county in the South Carolina GOP primary?

$10K8 tradersResolved
1%

Will Trump’s Vice Presidential pick be one of Marco Rubio, J.D. Vance, or Katie Britt?

$9K28 tradersResolved
99%

What will be the status of TikTok in the United States by EOY 2024?

$9K41 tradersResolved

WIll Donald Trump drop below 50% in the RealClearPolitics GOP Primary polling average before the end of 2023?

$8K33 tradersResolved
2%

Will Joe Manchin be on a third-party presidential ticket in 2024?

$7K23 tradersResolved
1%

Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date?

$6K31 tradersopen

Will some crazy shit happen at the No Kings protest on October 18?

$6K78 tradersResolved
1%

Will Fani Willis be disqualified from the Trump Fulton County case by the Georgia Court of Appeals?

$6K26 tradersResolved
99%

Will Joe Biden regain the RealClearPolitics polling lead by February 2024?

$5K21 tradersResolved
1%

Will Joe Biden appear on the 2024 General election ballot in Ohio?

$5K26 tradersResolved
0%

Will Victoria Spartz win renomination in IN-05?

$5K23 tradersResolved
98%

What will happen related to the Hantavirus in 2026?

$5K41 tradersopen

Will Joe Manchin seek re-election to the United States Senate in 2024?

$4K25 tradersResolved
1%

DOJ criminal charges against Goldberg/Atlantic in 2025?

$4K14 tradersResolved
6%

Who will win the 2024 U.S. Senate Primary in New Jersey

$4K20 tradersResolved

Which of the following things will happen in the Iran-Israel conflict by the end of 2025?

$3K49 tradersResolved

Will Brent crude close above 100/barrel at the end of the following months?

$3K24 tradersopen

Will Kyrsten Sinema be part of the No Labels presidential ticket in 2024?

$3K8 tradersResolved
1%

Which of the following things will happen in the 2026 USA/Israel vs. Iran conflict by the end of 2026?

$3K33 tradersopen

Which of the following things will happen in 2026 as a result of the US Attack on Venezuela?

$3K35 tradersopen

Will Kari Lake seek the Republican nomination for Arizona’s Senate seat in 2024?

$3K8 tradersResolved
99%

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection act by the end of 2025?

$2K23 tradersResolved
1%

What will happen as a result of the February 22-23 blizzard in the Northeast?

$2K24 tradersResolved

When will the current Minneapolis/ICE news cycle end?

$2K13 tradersopen

Will Hurricane Melissa make landfall in the continental United States?

$2K13 tradersResolved
1%

Will Trump follow through on his power plant/bridge threats?

$2K41 tradersopen
22%

If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will the 2028 election be free and fair?

$2K30 tradersopen
75%

When will the Charlie Kirk news cycle end?

$2K35 tradersResolved

How many members of Congress will vote for the resolution to expel George Santos?

$2K7 tradersResolved

What will the status of TikTok be in the US by the end of 2025?

$2K33 tradersResolved

Which of the following things happen in relation to the Texas Senate Election in 2026?

$2K17 tradersopen

Will a canal be created in the Strait of Hormuz using nuclear weapons?

$2K9 tradersopen
1%

What will happen first in Iran?

$2K15 tradersResolved

Will Dean Phillips be re-elected in 2024?

$1K8 tradersResolved
3%

Will Dean Phillips be on a third-party presidential ticket in 2024?

$1K9 tradersResolved
5%