Manifold Creator
Genzy
@Gen
Markets by Genzy
SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance)
$672K58 tradersResolved
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Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
$369K769 tradersResolved
2%
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models at the end of 2025?
$276K333 tradersResolved
91%
Will the Polymarket Ethereum ETF by May31 market resolve YES based on solely a 19b-4 SEC approval?
$129K22 tradersResolved
66%
What will be true of the Manifold X / Twitter Community by July 31st
$102K14 tradersResolved
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Will the Manifold Twitter Community reach 100 members within 2 weeks?
$93K36 tradersResolved
99%
Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?
$73K250 tradersopen
47%
What causes Manifold Love to fail?
$61K129 tradersResolved
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Will Charlie Kirk’s assassin be officially termed a foreign asset?
$51K36 tradersResolved
1%
Musk v. openAI trial prop bets [add answers]
$50K118 tradersResolved
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MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store?
$49K93 tradersopen
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Will more than 25% of US Adults believe the 2024 Election was illegitimate in February 2025?
$39K194 tradersResolved
1%
Will Tesla shareholders approve Elon Musk $1 Trillion pay package on November 6?
$38K105 tradersResolved
99%
Will any market in the "logan paul" category achieve 200 traders by the end of September?
$37K52 tradersResolved
100%
Will Destiny stream on Fibre internet by 2023 Jan 4th 2PM EST [market close]? (Relevant Clip in Description)
$36K134 tradersResolved
5%
Mana Shop - What digital goods will it contain in 2026?
$36K43 tradersopen
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Will a member of United States congress die in 2023?
$35K143 tradersResolved
99%
F1: Who will finish on the podium at the 2024 Formula 1 Monaco Grand Prix?
$34K64 tradersResolved
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Santa Paws DAY 3: Melee Singles ALL MATCHES
$33K29 tradersResolved
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When will Manifold reach 100,000 Monthly active traders?
$33K41 tradersopen
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Will the Trump-branded Trump Mobile Phone actually exist before the next Presidential election?
$32K34 tradersopen
99%
Elon Musk's America PAC: Will the paid incentives be ruled illegal?
$31K112 tradersResolved
2%
Will Destiny play League of Legends before the end of February 2023?
$29K71 tradersResolved
4%
Will the [non-Trump] frontrunner for 2024 Republican Presidential nominee promise to pardon Trump if they are elected?
$28K54 tradersResolved
87%
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift on the 13th of any month?
$28K59 tradersResolved
9%
Will Trump express disapproval of the ICE shooting this week?
$27K75 tradersResolved
1%
Will MrBeast Release a Mobile game/App by the end of 2024?
$25K57 tradersResolved
3%
Will Trump be right, and win every Super Tuesday state by more than 42 points?
$25K62 tradersResolved
3%
Will a Destiny video uploaded in 2023 reach 1 Million views before the end of 2023?
$22K57 tradersResolved
4%
Will Destiny share a panel with Vaush and Emma Vigeland at Vidcon?
$21K48 tradersResolved
98%
Will more than one member of United States congress die in 2023?
$21K105 tradersResolved
2%
Will Mr Girl claim to have been made Suicidal by Destiny in his manifesto?
$20K120 tradersResolved
9%
AI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?
$20K120 tradersopen
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Which Manifold Love ad tagline will perform best? (includes M5k bounty)
$19K97 tradersResolved
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Supreme Court vs Trump Tariffs: Constitutional? | Will the outcome be good for markets?
$19K50 tradersResolved
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Will the S&P500 SPX increase more than 1% on the day the US government shutdown ends?
$19K56 tradersResolved
5%
Does Destiny finish factorio before 6pm Thursday (Miami time)?
$17K53 tradersResolved
5%
Will a member of United States congress participate in a gaming livestream before end of March 2024?
$15K55 tradersResolved
99%
Will the next President of the United States go by a different first name or nickname that is NOT one of their birth name(s)?
$15K35 tradersResolved
1%
How much additional mana will be printed by the 2x trader bonuses in 7 days? (total trader bonuses divided by 2)
$15K16 tradersResolved
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