Manifold Creator
Gemc
@Gemc
Markets by Gemc
Will Trump interfere with Greenland?
$57K376 tradersopen
9%
Israel-Hamas ceasefire lasts at least a month?
$31K163 tradersResolved
7%
Will America send troops to Iran?
$15K94 tradersopen
42%
Will Trump abandon the Iran war?
$7K111 tradersResolved
4%
How many days in a row will the Iranian war strikes last?
$5K41 tradersResolved
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Will there be a major change in the Ukraine-Russia war?
$4K38 tradersResolved
—
Russia captures Pokrovsk in November?
$4K32 tradersResolved
1%
Trump makes public appearance by September 7th?
$3K21 tradersResolved
99%
What party will win the 2026 Welsh elections?
$3K35 tradersResolved
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Will Ukraine cede land to russia?
$3K30 tradersopen
28%
Will a member of the EU win Eurovision?
$2K34 tradersResolved
99%
Will Zelenskyy agree to Trumps proposals in their meeting on Monday?
$2K58 tradersResolved
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Putin meets Zelenskyy in August?
$2K21 tradersResolved
1%
Will China invade Taiwan by year's end?
$2K29 tradersopen
6%
Keir Starmer still UK prime minister by year end?
$2K20 tradersResolved
99%
Trump leaves office over Epstein files?
$2K29 tradersopen
6%
Will a country leave NATO this year?
$2K27 tradersopen
10%
UK recognizes Palestine as a country in September?
$2K30 tradersResolved
99%
Brits die tomorrow for Trump?
$2K15 tradersResolved
1%
Russia sends spy balloon to USA in 2025?
$2K13 tradersResolved
2%
Ukraine war ends in 2026?
$1K30 tradersopen
25%
How will Trump describe his second state visit in the UK?
$1K8 tradersResolved
—
Putin dies by end of 2026?
$1K22 tradersopen
7%
App becomes a payout app this year?
$1K14 tradersResolved
1%
Trump wanted by the ICC for war crimes?
$1K12 tradersopen
20%
Times Magazine winner related to war?
$1K5 tradersResolved
1%
UK has new prime minister in 2026?
$99527 tradersopen
71%
Trump receives financial compensation from BBC in 2025?
$97311 tradersResolved
1%
Will a russian missile fly into a NATO country by the end of 2025?
$97319 tradersResolved
4%
Will Venezuela retaliate?
$96816 tradersopen
16%
2026 political predictions (add your own)
$82413 tradersopen
—
Ukraine holds elections in 2026?
$76115 tradersopen
24%
Anti-Trump protests controllable in UK in the next few days?
$74824 tradersResolved
83%
Will another country support Venezuela militarily?
$74510 tradersopen
15%
Trump launches more strikes by year's end?
$70115 tradersResolved
54%
Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
$66919 tradersResolved
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Will Hantavirus become a pandemic in 2026?
$64410 tradersopen
5%
Will Elon Musk end up in Russia this year?
$58614 tradersopen
13%
Was Putin involved in the Epstein files?
$56117 tradersopen
52%
Trump meets Putin within next 2 weeks?
$53815 tradersResolved
8%