Accrue
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillancePricing
Log inGet Access
  1. Accrue
  2. /Home
  3. /Manifold
  4. /Geiger
Manifold Creator

Geiger

@Geiger

Markets by Geiger

Is backwards time travel possible?

$1K16 tradersopen
3%

What milestones will the (on-screen) Step Count reach in ClaudePlaysPokemon?

$79813 tradersclosed
—

Will a significant man-made object (>100kg) re-enter Earth's atmosphere and cause property damage before 2030?

$20611 tradersopen
37%

The Simpsons reaches episode 1000 before ending?

$14910 tradersopen
52%

When will 14-day weather forecasts reach 60% accuracy?

$1148 tradersopen
—

You are offered the opportunity to know the exact date of your death, but not its cause. Do you take the offer?

$019 tradersResolved
—
6
Markets Created
Total Volume$3K
Total Traders77
Resolved1
View on Manifold →
Accrue© 2026
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillance
The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets
TermsPrivacyRisk DisclosureCookiesDisclaimerAcceptable Use