Manifold Creator
Gabrielle
@Gabrielle
Markets by Gabrielle
Test Market
$600K2 tradersResolved
50%
Will Musk be on good terms with Trump at the end of 2025?
$415K640 tradersResolved
97%
Who will win poker at Manifest 2025 (finals)
$403K26 tradersResolved
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Trump positive favorability on Day 100? (April 29) (Polymarket)
$264K52 tradersResolved
1%
Will Venezuelans be better off at the end of 2026?
$202K400 tradersopen
41%
Which names will be used for hurricanes in the 2024 Hurricane Season?
$70K38 tradersResolved
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Will Ron DeSantis announce that he is running for president before June 1, 2023?
$70K90 tradersResolved
99%
Which states will be won by the Democratic Presidential candidate in 2024?
$67K2 tradersResolved
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Which states will be won by the Democratic Presidential candidate in 2024?
$61K169 tradersResolved
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Did ABC rig the debate for Harris?
$44K59 tradersResolved
1%
What will Manifold do for April Fools 2024?
$40K107 tradersResolved
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Will Donald Trump be indicted multiple times by the end of 2024?
$39K51 tradersResolved
99%
What will be announced at WWDC 2024?
$38K83 tradersResolved
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Will Trump declare a national emergency on immigration before February 2025?
$38K134 tradersResolved
99%
Who wins the US presidential election in 2024? / Will Russia invade a NATO member before 2030?
$31K71 tradersopen
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Will the US deport an American citizen before 2029?
$31K127 tradersResolved
88%
Will the "major flare-up in Russia/Ukraine conflict in 2022?" market have a prediction of 99% on March 1
$29K41 tradersResolved
38%
Which names will be used for hurricanes in the 2025 Hurricane Season?
$28K13 tradersResolved
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Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
$28K86 tradersopen
74%
Will AOC run for president in 2028?
$27K144 tradersopen
36%
Who will still be in the Republican primary on Super Tuesday (March 5, 2024)?
$24K119 tradersResolved
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When in April will there be a Manifold poker night?
$22K14 tradersResolved
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In which states will a hurricane make landfall in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
$22K14 tradersResolved
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Who will still be in the Republican primary on January 15, 2024?
$21K68 tradersResolved
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Will TikTok be meaningfully banned in the US on March 1, 2025?
$19K77 tradersResolved
1%
Will Manifold implement N/A shares before September 1?
$18K19 tradersResolved
1%
Who will win the August 23, 2023 Republican Presidential debate according to FiveThirtyEight polling?
$18K79 tradersResolved
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Who will be present at the November 8, 2023 Republican primary debate?
$18K51 tradersResolved
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Will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
$17K79 tradersResolved
2%
Will an Elon Musk company ban Apple devices before 2026?
$17K63 tradersResolved
3%
Will Xi Jinping attend Trump’s inauguration?
$17K52 tradersResolved
1%
Will TSLA close below $114 in 2025?
$17K42 tradersResolved
1%
How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025? [Kalshi]
$16K24 tradersResolved
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Will any US Supreme Court justice retire before the 2025 presidential inauguration?
$16K37 tradersResolved
1%
If there is a vote to remove Mike Johnson as speaker, will House Democrats save him?
$16K93 tradersResolved
99%
Will oil cost more than $100/barrel before 2030?
$15K22 tradersResolved
90%
Will No Labels run a third-party candidate for president in 2024?
$15K56 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be a disruption to air travel because of an Icelandic volcano before 2024?
$15K41 tradersResolved
2%
WWDC 2024 Keynote prop bets
$14K61 tradersResolved
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How many major hurricanes will there be in the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season?
$13K17 tradersResolved
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