Manifold Creator
Franek Żak
@FranekZak
Markets by Franek Żak
Will CrowdStrike pay more than $10m of civil or criminal liability for today's incident before 2027?
$30K41 tradersopen
37%
Will the next Pope be a Black man?
$20K100 tradersResolved
1%
Will Twitter have more than 3 consecutive hours of downtime in 2022?
$15K67 tradersResolved
6%
Will the exchange rate of USD to PLN (Polish Zloty) go above 7 before 2024?
$11K15 tradersResolved
1%
Will the uber hacker be found before 2024?
$10K32 tradersResolved
100%
If LK-99 is confirmed to be a superconductor, will it produce more than 100 million USD by 2025?
$10K51 tradersResolved
21%
Will there be any mobilization in Poland before 2025?
$10K46 tradersResolved
4%
Artificially produced gold on a significant scale by 2035?
$9K94 tradersopen
12%
Will this question be marked non-predictive?
$8K26 tradersResolved
97%
Can this question remain open indefinitely?
$7K20 tradersopen
10%
What will apple launch on February 19th?
$6K38 tradersResolved
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Will the Polish government implement a subsidised housing loan project in 2023?
$5K15 tradersResolved
97%
How many days from Dec 29th, 2022 will Avraham Eisenberg tweet again?
$3K5 tradersResolved
99%
LOTTERY! This question will resolve YES with a 1/1000 probability.
$3K23 tradersResolved
2%
Will the Witcher IV release before GTA VI?
$3K14 tradersopen
9%
Which year will the first nuclear power plant in Poland start producing power?
$2K28 tradersopen
—
Will haveibeenpwned report my unique uber password as stolen, before 2023?
$2K12 tradersResolved
3%
Proof of work market: I will select the lowest MD5 hash submitted
$2K11 tradersResolved
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Will I seriously disagree with the resolution of any question I bet on?
$1K16 tradersResolved
6%
Will either Mariusz Kamiński or Maciej Wąsik be present and vote in Sejm in the second half of 2024?
$1K4 tradersResolved
1%
How many people will claim the attached manalink?
$1K24 tradersResolved
40%
Is the transcript of a conversation with LaMDA real?
$92918 tradersResolved
86%
What will be true about the Pete Hegseth plane emergency?
$76813 tradersResolved
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Will the WIBOR3M rate be raised above 7.5% before September 2022?
$2471 tradersResolved
57%
CTO.new: When do free frontier-model tokens end?
$1081 tradersopen
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