Manifold Creator
Fion
@Fion
Markets by Fion
How much will I make in loans interest by 22nd December 2024?
$64K4 tradersResolved
—
Will I get to a 400 day streak?
$62K23 tradersResolved
100%
If Jeremy Corbyn stands as a non-Labour candidate in the next UK general election, who will win in his constituency?
$59K21 tradersResolved
—
Will I manage to do a one-arm pull up by end of February 2024
$51K252 tradersResolved
7%
Will the UK introduce a wealth tax by end of 2025?
$43K111 tradersResolved
1%
Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?
$41K86 tradersopen
—
Will 12 or more users request a loan from me by 22 January 2024?
$41K17 tradersResolved
100%
Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?
$40K169 tradersopen
40%
Will the "AI make a movie" market reach a new equilibrium by September 2024?
$33K29 tradersResolved
100%
What number streak will I get to on Manifold?
$33K7 tradersResolved
—
Will there be a UK by-election on or before 19th January?
$23K15 tradersResolved
0%
Will we create a market for every seat in the next UK general election?
$22K8 tradersResolved
100%
Will @firstuserhere walk more than 85,000 steps again in 2023?
$21K34 tradersResolved
99%
Will @Fion walk 100,000 steps in a day before @firstuserhere?
$19K25 tradersResolved
0%
Will the Ponzi scheme get more than 316 participants?
$19K76 tradersResolved
4%
Will I encounter serious difficulties travelling to or entering New Zealand?
$18K9 tradersResolved
0%
Will Rishi Sunak be replaced as leader of the Conservative Party before the next UK general election?
$18K35 tradersResolved
1%
Will Andy McDonald's suspension as a Labour MP be lifted by 8th March?
$17K12 tradersResolved
0%
How many trips to the hardware shop will I make while fixing my sink?
$16K18 tradersResolved
—
Will Serendipitous Pixies be the hardest platinum league to promote from this month?
$15K13 tradersResolved
100%
Will the Ponzi scheme get more than 100 participants?
$12K26 tradersResolved
100%
Will the sum of the top three positions on both sides of the linked market be less than 3,000?
$12K13 tradersResolved
0%
Will the sum of the top three positions on both sides of the linked market be less than 9,000?
$12K9 tradersResolved
0%
Will there be an extraordinary Scottish Parliament election due to failure to elect a First Minister?
$11K9 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Scottish Labour Party be the second largest party in Holyrood after the next election?
$10K27 tradersResolved
35%
Will the winner of the Manifold Plays Poker tournament win more than one hand?
$10K7 tradersResolved
0%
Will the winning hand in Manifold Plays Poker Hand 4 be better than 2 pairs?
$10K10 tradersResolved
0%
Will somebody create a Manifold UK General Election Projection?
$10K9 tradersResolved
99%
Will I lose mana in the linked market?
$10K12 tradersResolved
0%
Will UK CPI inflation be below 5% by the end of 2023?
$9K14 tradersResolved
100%
Will UK Labour charge 20% VAT on private school fees within 1 year of winning election? [Potential early resolution]
$9K24 tradersResolved
98%
Will the Sun newspaper endorse the Conservative Party at the next UK general election?
$9K51 tradersResolved
2%
Will the UK introduce a land value tax by end of 2025?
$8K14 tradersResolved
2%
(Manifold plays poker, hand 6) Will the player with the highest percentage in the Flop go on to win?
$8K7 tradersResolved
0%
(Manifold plays poker, hand 6) How many players will employ cheats?
$8K5 tradersResolved
—
(Manifold plays poker, hand 6) Will the player with the highest percentage in the Deal go on to win?
$8K6 tradersResolved
0%
(Manifold plays poker, hand 6) Will the player with the highest percentage in the River go on to win?
$8K5 tradersResolved
0%
Who will win the Manifold Plays Poker tournament?
$8K6 tradersResolved
—
Will there be another NO LOAN day before 22nd October 2023?
$7K25 tradersResolved
6%
(Manifold plays poker, hand 6) How many cheats will the winner employ?
$7K5 tradersResolved
—