Manifold Creator
Finn
@Finn
Markets by Finn
Will Assad flee Syria by 2025?
$27K50 tradersResolved
84%
Will RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2026?
$20K33 tradersResolved
99%
Will RFK Jr. be the Secretary Health and Human Services at the start of 2026?
$20K74 tradersResolved
99%
Will there be a new (non-Sweden) NATO member before 2026?
$14K17 tradersResolved
1%
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?
$13K62 tradersResolved
2%
If Donald Trump wins the electoral college, will he NOT take office?
$11K19 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Houthis still control Sana'a by the end of 2024?
$11K18 tradersResolved
99%
How many Trump Admin Cabinet members will resign or be fired by the start of 2026?
$9K16 tradersResolved
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How many Trump Admin Cabinet members will be resigned or fired by the start of 2026?
$6K29 tradersResolved
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Will Joe Biden be the last (de facto) US president?
$6K21 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be a Third Congo War by 2025?
$1K12 tradersResolved
1%
Will an anti-immigration party or individual be represented in the next Irish Government? (formed after 2024 election)
$6703 tradersResolved
3%
Is human civilization compatible with computers in the long term?
$26312 tradersopen
53%
Will Ireland have a major anti-migrant/refugee/asylum seeker riot/protest by the end of the year?
$1546 tradersResolved
91%
Will Ireland have another major anti-migrant/refugee/asylum seeker riot/protest by the end of the year?
$1197 tradersResolved
38%
The number of daily Irish speakers will increase in the next Irish census
$1139 tradersopen
43%
Will I break my Steam Deck trying to upgrade its SSD?
$965 tradersResolved
22%
Is it possible to prepare for AGI/ASI?
$043 tradersResolved
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