Manifold Creator
Refreshment
@EternalRefreshment
Markets by Refreshment
Will a Democrat Nominate the next Supreme Court Justice?
$4K27 tradersopen
10%
Will Gavin Newsom’s Senate appointee win the 2024 election?
$4K25 tradersResolved
4%
Who will win the 2023 Houston Mayoral Race?
$2K13 tradersResolved
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Will a Republican win Arizona for President by 2050?
$2K10 tradersResolved
99%
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania for President by 2050?
$2K9 tradersResolved
99%
Will a Republican win Michigan for President by 2050?
$2K7 tradersResolved
99%
Will a Republican win Georgia for President by 2050?
$2K8 tradersResolved
99%
Will John Carney win the 2024 Senate election in Delaware?
$2K4 tradersResolved
1%
Will a Republican win Nevada for President by 2050?
$1K8 tradersResolved
99%
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester win the 2024 Senate election in Delaware?
$1K9 tradersResolved
99%
Will a Republican win Wisconsin for President by 2050?
$1K6 tradersResolved
99%
Will a Democrat win Florida for President by 2050?
$65419 tradersopen
65%
Will a Republican win D.C. for President by 2050?
$60010 tradersopen
9%
Will a Democrat win South Carolina for President by 2050?
$5578 tradersopen
20%
Will a Democrat win Indiana for President by 2050?
$5148 tradersopen
58%
Will a Democrat win Texas for President by 2050?
$47318 tradersopen
78%
Will a Republican win Washington for President by 2050?
$3899 tradersopen
25%
Will a Republican win Virginia for President by 2050?
$3739 tradersopen
55%
Will a Republican win Massachusetts for President by 2050?
$3446 tradersopen
18%
Will a Republican win Colorado for President by 2050?
$3227 tradersopen
41%
Will a Republican win California for President by 2050?
$2716 tradersopen
34%
Will I pass my qualifying exam in May?
$21811 tradersResolved
81%
Will a Democrat win West Virginia for President by 2050?
$1914 tradersopen
29%
Will a Republican win Maryland for President by 2050?
$1904 tradersopen
19%
Will a Republican win New Jersey for President by 2050?
$1718 tradersopen
32%
Will a Democrat win Idaho for President by 2050?
$1278 tradersopen
36%
Will a Democrat win Oklahoma for President by 2050?
$1277 tradersopen
30%
Will a Democrat win South Dakota for President by 2050?
$1226 tradersopen
41%
Will a Republican win Vermont for President by 2050?
$1202 tradersopen
20%
Will a Democrat win Wyoming for President by 2050?
$1073 tradersopen
20%
Will a Democrat win Iowa for President by 2050?
$1064 tradersopen
53%
Will a Democrat win North Carolina for President by 2050?
$1057 tradersopen
78%
Will a Democrat win Utah for President by 2050?
$1025 tradersopen
40%
Will a Democrat win North Dakota for President by 2050?
$954 tradersopen
21%
Will a Republican win Hawaii for President by 2050?
$822 tradersopen
15%
Will a Democrat win Montana for President by 2050?
$765 tradersopen
70%
Will a Republican win Rhode Island for President by 2050?
$725 tradersopen
45%
Will a Republican win New York for President by 2050?
$645 tradersopen
30%
Will a Republican win New Hampshire for President by 2050?
$553 tradersopen
67%
Will a Democrat win Alabama for President by 2050?
$534 tradersopen
24%