Manifold Creator
Epsilon
@Epsilon
Markets by Epsilon
Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter by EOY 2023?
$23K19 tradersResolved
100%
Will contact be regained with Voyager 2 by the end of the year?
$6K53 tradersResolved
92%
Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?
$5K69 tradersopen
37%
Will Manifold send an updated email specifying the dates of Manifest?
$3K19 tradersResolved
3%
Will some combination of the major cryonics companies accidentally thaw at least two patients before 2030?
$3K22 tradersopen
19%
Who will be the next HUD secretary?
$2K13 tradersclosed
—
Will Susanna Clarke release another book by the end of 2029?
$1K9 tradersResolved
99%
Will it ever be legal to sell incandescent lightbulbs after August 1st, 2023 in the US?
$98015 tradersResolved
91%
Will [person1] have a job by July 1, 2023?
$44418 tradersResolved
51%
Will the economy in 2048 be at least six times the size it is today?
$24910 tradersopen
38%
Will the glowfic "take it apart and put it together again" exit hiatus status this year?
$1827 tradersResolved
15%
Will the first living human on Mars be of US nationality?
$15911 tradersclosed
73%
Will Tom Scott's video on cryonics (likely to come out tomorrow) have a broadly pro-cryonics message?
$1246 tradersResolved
84%
Will a crochet machine exist before 2026?
$815 tradersclosed
15%
Are you in universe A or B on July 14th?
$798 tradersResolved
—
Will the Kings County Radio Club hold an in person meeting by June 5, 2024?
$674 tradersResolved
30%
In what year will the first fully vegan Thanksgiving dinner be served at the Whitehouse?
$627 tradersopen
—
Will Amish fertility drop below 5 children per women by the end of 2040?
$211 tradersopen
59%
Who is the next person I will get drinks with?
$101 tradersResolved
—