Manifold Creator
Ṁ710
@ElmerFudd
Markets by Ṁ710
Will Korean president Yoon Suk Yeol be impeached [⚠ and gone] before January 3rd 2025?
$287K243 tradersResolved
0%
Will Manifold get a bump of >=2000 new daily active users from the NYT article?
$67K143 tradersResolved
0%
Will Prigozhin show up in Africa by end of August 2023?
$27K77 tradersResolved
—
who is the current president of the United States?
$26K19 tradersResolved
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Who is @MarsMartian (trader who knew about the Vance pick a month ago)?
$26K54 tradersResolved
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Will Slovakian PM Robert Fico survive the assassination attempt?
$22K127 tradersResolved
99%
How did Ismail Haniyeh die?
$22K45 tradersResolved
—
Will the Google search chatbot market resolve N/A?
$19K42 tradersResolved
1%
Will the LA fires destroy more than 50,000 houses in the LA metro area by February 1st?
$10K13 tradersResolved
2%
Was Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital hit by an airstrike?
$9K39 tradersResolved
3%
Will any economist get doxxed for posting on the job market rumors forum by end of 2023?
$7K11 tradersResolved
2%
Will Francesca Gino leave Harvard by end of 2023?
$6K26 tradersResolved
1%
Will Putin die in office?
$5K78 tradersopen
79%
Will Oryx report more than 2999 Russian tanks lost in Ukraine by April 1st 2024?
$4K20 tradersResolved
2%
Will there be an attempted assassination of any US presidential candidate in 2023?
$4K32 tradersResolved
3%
Will any OECD country undergo a sovereign debt crisis by end of 2025?
$4K17 tradersclosed
3%
Will Saudi Arabia roll back any of MBS’s secularizing reforms by end of 2024?
$4K12 tradersResolved
4%
Will Taylor Swift date anyone other than Travis Kelce by end of 2023?
$3K24 tradersResolved
2%
Will Rivian announce they’ve sold at least 20,000 vehicles in Q3 2023?
$3K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will Hurricane Idalia cost >=150 lives?
$3K24 tradersResolved
2%
Will there be an attempt on Putin’s life in 2023?
$3K16 tradersResolved
2%
Which is the first day of the week?
$3K27 tradersResolved
3%
Musk vs Zuckerberg: Will Elon back out?
$3K18 tradersResolved
5%
Which country will the U.S. declare war on next?
$2K28 tradersopen
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Will anyone exploit Manifold's policy allowing creators to override title & description in comments by end of July 2023?
$2K44 tradersResolved
19%
When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
$2K16 tradersopen
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Will an LLM compete in Jeopardy’s 40th season?
$2K16 tradersResolved
9%
Will Destiny’s face be defaced at all when r/place closes?
$2K12 tradersResolved
97%
Will admins resolve my July 4th market YES or NA?
$2K8 tradersResolved
90%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays beat the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday?
$2K4 tradersResolved
99%
Which incumbent voice assistant will be first to incorporate an LLM?
$2K15 tradersResolved
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Will Korean president Yoon Suk Yeol be impeached [⚠ and gone] before January 3rd 2025?
$1K65 tradersResolved
0%
Will Rivian announce they’ve sold at least 15,000 vehicles in Q3 2023?
$1K7 tradersResolved
98%
Will Russia give Prigozhin a military funeral?
$7339 tradersResolved
6%
Will LLMs find significant applications in the Ukraine War in 2023, excluding propaganda?
$72111 tradersResolved
5%
Are David Grusch's claims that the pentagon has ET vehicles & corpses true? Resolves to poll
$69915 tradersResolved
6%
Was the car explosion at the Niagara Falls Rainbow Bridge intentional?
$65910 tradersResolved
10%
Will 3 or 4 YES bettors in this market hold a position of Ṁ5000 or more at market close?
$62612 tradersResolved
8%
If Venezuela invades Guyana, will any other country intervene militarily?
$34413 tradersResolved
80%
Will Manifold stop allowing creators to pull the rug on traders?
$14411 tradersResolved
20%