Manifold Creator
Eliza
@Eliza
Markets by Eliza
Who will win the 2025 Giro d'Italia?
$176K77 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2024 Tour de France General Classification (Yellow Jersey)?
$164K130 tradersResolved
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Resolves to 50% whenever Ziddletwix or I decide.
$150K12 tradersResolved
50%
Who will win the 2025 Tour de France?
$140K166 tradersResolved
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[40k liquidity] 2025 Tour de France Winner?
$119K88 tradersResolved
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Which riders will wear the yellow jersey at the 2025 Tour de France?
$119K57 tradersResolved
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Which sumo wrestlers (rikishi) will achieve a winning record (kachi-koshi) at the 2023 November Kyushu Basho?
$118K8 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2023 Vuelta a Espana General Classification? (Free Response)
$108K56 tradersResolved
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How many riders will wear the yellow jersey in the 2025 Tour de France?
$104K45 tradersResolved
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Resolves to 50% whenever Gabrielle or I decide
$100K3 tradersResolved
50%
Will Primoz Roglic start the 2023 Tour de France?
$78K24 tradersResolved
1%
Will India win the 2023 Cricket World Cup?
$75K72 tradersResolved
6%
[Closed, won't reopen] Who will win the 2026 Giro d'Italia Women?
$75K27 tradersResolved
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Will Enho be on the banzuke in Juryo for the May 2026 Grand Sumo Tournament (Natsu basho)
$73K23 tradersResolved
99%
Will Manifold Reach 10500 Monthly Active Users in 2023?
$71K63 tradersResolved
0%
Will Jake's replacement at Asterisk Magazine (managing editor) also have a name starting with J?
$66K45 tradersResolved
3%
[closed until race finishes] 2025 Tour de France Femmes Winner?
$63K44 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2023 UCI Mens Elite World Championship Individual Time Trial?
$63K21 tradersResolved
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Who will finish in the top 10 of the 2024 Tour de France?
$60K55 tradersResolved
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[40k liquidity] 2025 Tour de France Femmes Winner?
$59K50 tradersResolved
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Will Manifold convince me the charity giveaway was fair before the end of March 2026?
$58K67 tradersResolved
70%
Who will win the 2025 UCI Womens Elite World Championship Road Race
$54K23 tradersResolved
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Will Asahifuji (Ochirsaikhan/Ochiru) go undefeated through the end of 2026?
$51K11 tradersopen
4%
How many riders from Tashkent City Women Professional Cycling Team will finish the 2024 Tour de France Femmes avec Zwift
$50K6 tradersResolved
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How many minutes will the yellow jersey have over 2nd place after Stage 14 of the 2025 Tour de France?
$45K20 tradersResolved
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Will @firstuserhere walk over 40,000 steps on 21 Decemeber 2023?
$43K26 tradersResolved
100%
How many national/continental/world road race champions will start the 2025 Tour de France?
$43K9 tradersResolved
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Will any Manifold user withdraw at least $1,000 from Manifold "sweepcash" in 2024?
$42K104 tradersResolved
99%
Who will win the 2023 September (Aki) Grand Sumo Tournament (Basho)?
$41K7 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2025 European Continental Championship Road Race?
$40K11 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2026 Giro d'Italia Women? [V4]
$38K14 tradersResolved
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Will Tadej Pogacar win the Green Jersey at the 2025 Tour de France?
$37K41 tradersResolved
1%
[Won't reopen] Who will win the 2026 Giro d'Italia Women? [V2]
$35K19 tradersResolved
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Who will win the Paris-Nice 2024 General Classification? (2.UWT)
$35K19 tradersResolved
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MrBeast $1 Million Puzzle: Multi Market
$35K16 tradersResolved
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Who will win Stage 17 of the 2023 Vuelta a Espana?
$34K19 tradersResolved
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Which UCI Mens Road cyclists will score more UCI points in 2024 than 2023?
$34K21 tradersResolved
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[Won't reopen] Who will win the 2026 Giro d'Italia Women? [V3]
$34K14 tradersResolved
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Will @firstuserhere walk over 85,000 steps on 21 Decemeber 2023?
$34K45 tradersResolved
100%
What team will win the first stage of the 2023 Vuelta a Espana?
$33K11 tradersResolved
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