Manifold Creator
Edvard
@Edvard
Markets by Edvard
Will Claude Sonnet 4.8 be released before May 24?
$2K40 tradersResolved
1%
Will Orban claim, within one week after the elections on 12 April, that there was massive election fraud?
$2K45 tradersResolved
4%
Will Pete Hegseth be fired before 10 May, 2026?
$2K27 tradersResolved
1%
Will Eric Swalwell end his bid for California governor before 21 April, 2026?
$2K15 tradersResolved
99%
Will a European country start participating in the war with Iran before May 1?
$1K24 tradersResolved
1%
Number of yellow cards in Paris Arsenal Champions League finale.
$1K7 tradersResolved
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Will Solana trade above $100 by the end of May 2026?
$97911 tradersResolved
1%
Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) reach $46 in May?
$9483 tradersResolved
99%
Will Ethereum trade below $1700 in June?
$9356 tradersResolved
99%
Will Solana close below $76 at any day in June?
$9275 tradersResolved
99%
Will Rumen Radev become the new Bulgarian prime minister?
$9096 tradersResolved
99%
Will Intel trade below $94 in May?
$8998 tradersResolved
1%
Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) reach $48 in May?
$8302 tradersResolved
99%
Will there be at least one red card in PSG Arsenal Champions League Final?
$82219 tradersResolved
4%
Will Ethereum (ETH) be below $2000 on April 30, 2026?
$82216 tradersResolved
4%
Will Solana (SOL) be below $86 on May 1?
$68015 tradersResolved
81%
Will Apple release a new iMac before July 1, 2026?
$4648 tradersopen
4%
Will the government of a European country propose to withdraw from NATO before August 1, 2026?
$3409 tradersopen
9%
Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027?
$3403 tradersopen
5%
Will Intel stock trade above $90 in May, 2026?
$3296 tradersResolved
83%
Will the US strike Oman before June 16?
$3219 tradersopen
8%
Will Péter Szijjártó, Hungary's current minister of foreign affairs, be indicted before August 1, 2026?
$29412 tradersopen
18%
Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections?
$2758 tradersopen
28%
Will the US unemployment rate be above 4.5% in April 2026?
$2249 tradersResolved
11%
Will a meeting between former President Obama and Pope Leo XIV be announced before August 1, 2026?
$2057 tradersopen
12%
Will Apple's foldable iPhone be called 'iPhone Ultra'?
$18311 tradersopen
24%
Which of these rankings (most to least prestigious) of top philosophy journals will most people agree with?
$1546 tradersopen
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Will Anthropic's lawsuit against the Pentagon be settled out of court before August 1, 2026?
$1428 tradersopen
30%
Will Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine?
$1127 tradersopen
34%
Which university will be in second place in the upcoming (June 2026) QS Global University Rankings 2027?
$996 tradersopen
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Will Melania Trump attend the 2026 World Cup final match for national teams?
$454 tradersopen
45%
Will David Jolly become Florida's next governor?
$101 tradersopen
55%