Manifold Creator
Curatorymy
@EdisonYi
Markets by Curatorymy
Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?
$6K39 tradersopen
69%
What year will the US enter a recession next?
$5K49 tradersopen
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Who will falsely claim that Ukraine started the war in 2025? (Add answers)
$3K35 tradersResolved
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If Trump unambiguously causes a recession during his term, will it affect his popularity among the MAGAs?
$2K30 tradersopen
39%
When will Ben L successfully set up his mac?
$2K7 tradersResolved
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Will Elon Musk come out against one of the following consensus positions before the end of 2026? (Add answers)
$2K34 tradersopen
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Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026?
$1K28 tradersopen
12%
Will GTA 6 win GOTY (Game Awards)?
$1K20 tradersopen
54%
Will any currently well-known conservative figure publicly defend Hitler in 2025?
$1K22 tradersResolved
9%
Will Trump be regarded as a fascist by most mainstream scholars in 2050?
$1K21 tradersopen
60%
Which country will win the AI race by 2030?
$1K14 tradersopen
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Trump spends how many millions on golfing in second term?
$90913 tradersopen
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If Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire, will it last the agreed duration?
$88219 tradersResolved
5%
What will happen to Trump's tariff war in 2025? (Add answers)
$68820 tradersResolved
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Will Chinese students be banned from attending universities in the US before 2029?
$63821 tradersopen
25%
Will Trump execute any political opponents in his second term?
$54721 tradersopen
8%
Will Trump's tariffs war be seen to have been a success by a plurality of Americans by 2026?
$44913 tradersResolved
9%
How many times will Trump flip flop on tariffs in 2025?
$4319 tradersResolved
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Who will come out as conservative in 2025? (Add answers)
$40014 tradersResolved
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Will it be confirmed that Musk has used sex-selective IVF by the end of 2026?
$33517 tradersopen
29%
Will any of Trump's children run for presidency in 2028?
$32016 tradersopen
27%
In what year will a nuclear bomb next be used offensively?
$3078 tradersopen
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Large language model at least diamond in StarCraft 2 by 2028?
$29910 tradersopen
7%
Will Trump significantly cut taxes for people making under 150k a year?
$26511 tradersopen
14%
Will Melania divorce or separate from Trump by 2050?
$1869 tradersopen
15%
Will a girl I like be poly?
$9713 tradersResolved
50%
Will the "president of US in 2020" market resolve to the funniest answer?
$924 tradersResolved
31%
Will any central bank buy a cryptocurrency (CBDC doesn't count) for their reserves by the end of 2030?
$813 tradersopen
72%
Will I pass my UK driving practical exam on March 27?
$757 tradersResolved
52%
If Ukraine and Russia enters into a ceasefire, how many months will it take for fighting to start again?
$652 tradersopen
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Will the top model on LiveBench be Chinese on Jan 1st, 2028?
$223 tradersopen
40%
Is manifold market politically biased? If so, in which direction?
$015 tradersopen
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Non-Trump supporters, would you prefer Trump or Xi to be your head of government? (Holding institutions constant)
$033 tradersResolved
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Rate my ASMR playlist
$02 tradersResolved
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