Manifold Creator
E
@Ebcc1
Markets by E
Will the Transformer still be the Dominant AI architecture by mid 2024?
$11K29 tradersResolved
98%
Which AI model will win Kaggle‘s chess tournament?
$4K38 tradersResolved
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Will ICE cause an incident of note at the Olympics?
$3K43 tradersResolved
1%
Will Germany form a stable government within a month and a half of elections?
$3K30 tradersResolved
1%
Prop bets Israel
$3K26 tradersResolved
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Will martial law in South Korea hold past the end of the week?
$3K31 tradersResolved
1%
Will maria corina machado be mentioned explicitly or implicitly by trump during his address concerning Venezuela today?
$1K8 tradersResolved
99%
Israel deploys nuclear weapons in 2025?
$1K12 tradersResolved
1%
What percentage of shots not taken misses?
$1K8 tradersopen
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Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)
$98811 tradersopen
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Will Googles Titans architecture replace transformers?
$54115 tradersResolved
8%
WW3 begins in 2026
$53410 tradersopen
8%
Which of these groups will be subject to significant scapegoating in Q1 2025?
$5174 tradersResolved
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Will there be a global scale effort to solve AI alignment in 2024?
$3689 tradersResolved
10%
Is the percentage of shots missed from percentage of shots not taken defined?
$2577 tradersopen
50%
What will the outcomes of the CFTC Roundtable on prediction markets announced for around march 22 be?
$1521 tradersResolved
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I'm insane by EOY?
$11710 tradersResolved
26%
Running probability that we are in the overshoot and collapse scenario of world3 and its 2023 recalibration.
$453 tradersopen
41%
Will there be a cuban missile crisis level incident in the south china sea by end of 2027?
$334 tradersopen
38%
Will this can of progresso sausage & beer cheese with potatoes be any good?
$71 tradersResolved
53%
Are People underestimating the potential of AI?
$063 tradersopen
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