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Manifold Creator

Dwarkesh Patel

@DwarkeshPatel

Markets by Dwarkesh Patel

Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?

$49K244 tradersopen
26%

Tucker Carlson mentions Scott Alexander or Astral Codex Ten on his show by the end of 2023.

$4K24 tradersResolved
4%
2
Markets Created
Total Volume$53K
Total Traders268
Resolved1
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