Manifold Creator
Duncn
@Duncn
Markets by Duncn
Will ChatGPT be Time's 2023 Person of the Year?
$323K318 tradersResolved
0%
I will select all options with greater than 30% as correct.
$218K19 tradersResolved
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Will Russia invade Ukraine before the end of February?
$203K287 tradersResolved
73%
Will Russia control Kyiv as of April 2, 2022?
$179K239 tradersResolved
1%
Will this market have M$15,000 invested by February 25th?
$109K127 tradersResolved
99%
Will vegan pizza be commonly available at one of the big four pizza chains in the US by the end of 2024?
$73K214 tradersResolved
5%
Will we have AI generated markets on Manifold Markets by the end of 2023?
$59K34 tradersResolved
96%
This market will resolve NO on Dec 31st, 2023. I will buy YES.
$47K50 tradersResolved
1%
Will Trump spend any time in prison before he dies?
$43K179 tradersopen
11%
Will US life expectancy bounce back up to at least 76.6 by the end of 2023?
$41K24 tradersResolved
99%
Among current heads of state, who will be the next to die?
$40K60 tradersResolved
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Will Manifold for Charity reach $100,000 before the end of the month?
$40K35 tradersResolved
100%
Will Boris Johnson resign before March 2022?
$35K103 tradersResolved
1%
Will Russia control the majority of the Ukraine by January 1st, 2023?
$34K186 tradersResolved
1%
Will monkeypox be renamed?
$32K257 tradersResolved
99%
Will 10,000 people die of H5N1 before the end of 2024?
$25K66 tradersResolved
1%
What day will Russia invade Ukraine?
$23K42 tradersResolved
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Will 10,000 Americans die of H5N1 before the end of 2024?
$22K41 tradersResolved
1%
Will September 2023 be the hottest September on record?
$21K80 tradersResolved
98%
Will Elon Musk spend any time on Mars before he dies?
$21K117 tradersopen
13%
Will there be any surprise world events flipping an end-of-2022 market?
$20K136 tradersResolved
95%
Will at least two new companies enter the top 10 list of publicly traded US companies by the end of June, 2023?
$20K54 tradersResolved
99%
Will the USA have a female president in 2023?
$19K84 tradersResolved
2%
Will March 2024 be the hottest March on record?
$18K86 tradersResolved
88%
Will October 2023 be the hottest October on record?
$16K79 tradersResolved
98%
Will US citizens be getting boosters modified for another mutation of Omicron before July 2023?
$15K23 tradersResolved
0%
Will any countries that are not currently known to have nuclear weapons test a functioning nuclear warhead in 2023?
$15K60 tradersResolved
0%
Will Apple have the largest market cap of any publicly traded US company by the end of 2023?
$15K49 tradersResolved
99%
Will November 2023 be the hottest November on record?
$14K54 tradersResolved
99%
Will there be an edge case where it is hard to determine if Russia has invaded the Ukraine before March?
$14K57 tradersResolved
1%
Will dearMoon complete its mission and return to Earth before Artemis 2 does?
$13K32 tradersResolved
1%
Will aliens land before March 2022?
$13K38 tradersResolved
1%
Will the US federal minimum wage be at least $15 an hour by the end of 2024?
$12K16 tradersResolved
1%
Will July 2023 be the hottest July on record?
$11K24 tradersResolved
100%
Will Manifold for Charity reach $95,000 before the end of the month?
$11K9 tradersResolved
100%
Will the Worldometers Covid counter register 1,000,000 US deaths before March 15?
$11K23 tradersResolved
1%
Will Donald Trump be arrested before 2025?
$11K14 tradersResolved
100%
Will August 2023 be the hottest August on record?
$11K54 tradersResolved
98%
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
$11K77 tradersResolved
3%
Will 10,000 people die of H5N1 in 2023?
$11K92 tradersResolved
4%