Manifold Creator
Donut Throw
@DonutThrow
Markets by Donut Throw
Politico says that Biden will issue an executive order on immigration by Tuesday June 4. Will Biden do so?
$14K29 tradersResolved
98%
Is 2024 the year of the Linux desktop (break 5% market share)?
$12K127 tradersResolved
4%
Will Biden issue at least one executive order to tighten the border?
$12K43 tradersResolved
98%
Will the Australian Open have a new grand slam winner on the men's side?
$7K43 tradersResolved
96%
Will X (fka Twitter) come public in 2024 under the "X" stock ticker?
$7K35 tradersResolved
3%
Will at least one American woman reach the singles final of Australian Open 2024?
$5K21 tradersResolved
1%
Will McConnell be gone as minority leader before April 1?
$3K7 tradersResolved
2%
Will the Canadian dollar reach parity with the US dollar in 2024?
$2K15 tradersResolved
5%
What will Paramount Studios $PARA sell for? (in May)
$1K3 tradersResolved
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Will the motives of the Minnesota shooter turn out to be . . .
$94418 tradersResolved
—
Will Serena Williams return to professional tennis in 2024?
$9086 tradersResolved
1%
Will Australian Open 2024 have a new grand slam champion on the women's side?
$88016 tradersResolved
10%
Will law enforcement arrest anyone involved in the January 6th pipe bomb incident before the 2025 inauguration?
$3849 tradersResolved
11%
Will the current congress pass a bill pairing military aid & immigration reform before Presidents day?
$3486 tradersResolved
16%
Who will leave NPR first, CEO Katherine Maher or reporter Uri Berliner?
$1123 tradersResolved
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Will 10 year yield on US treasury bond close above 5% on the daily chart in 2025?
$501 tradersResolved
52%
Will Jack Sock be the #1 pickleball player by end of the year?
$301 tradersResolved
72%
Who will win the Six Kings Slam in Saudi Arabia in October?
$101 tradersResolved
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Will McConnell still be senate minority leader on April 1 2024?
$101 tradersResolved
45%
Will the Canadian dollar reach parity with the US dollar in 2024?
$101 tradersResolved
41%
Will Space-X come public in 2024?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will there be a new men's US Open tennis champion this year?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will Biden once state "the border is secure" or the equivalent between now and the election?
$00 tradersResolved
50%