Manifold Creator
Donald Ives
@DonaldIves
Markets by Donald Ives
Will Jim Jordan be elected as house speaker by October 19?
$52K162 tradersResolved
0%
Will Nikki Haley beat Ron DeSantis in the Iowa caucus?
$40K81 tradersResolved
0%
Will a new house speaker be elected in fewer than 5 votes?
$24K106 tradersResolved
99%
Will enough members of the House “Problem Solvers Caucus” unite to elect any new speaker by October 31?
$17K79 tradersResolved
98%
Will the next house speaker be a democrat?
$17K28 tradersResolved
0%
Will Nikki Haley beat Donald Trump in the SC primary?
$14K17 tradersResolved
0%
Will Donald Trump violate any judge’s gag orders in the next 30 days?
$13K49 tradersResolved
99%
Will the US debt surpass $38 trillion, according to USdebtclock.org by next Nov 11?
$13K16 tradersResolved
99%
Will there be a partial or complete government shutdown in November?
$8K30 tradersResolved
1%
Will any House Republicans side with the Democrats for House speaker?
$6K27 tradersResolved
1%
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next speaker of the House?
$5K16 tradersResolved
1%
Will Jim Jordan be elected on the second ballot?
$3K16 tradersResolved
1%
Will Chris Christie obtain more than 5% of the vote in the Iowa caucus on Tuesday?
$2K12 tradersResolved
5%
Will Trump again violate any gag order by any judge in any case by Nov 21?
$2K10 tradersResolved
96%
Will Cleveland Browns make the playoffs this season?
$2K5 tradersResolved
99%
Will any Republicans be elected to Speakership on Tuesday, Oct 24?
$2K10 tradersResolved
3%
Given the current state of politics, will the House of Rep flip from Republican to Democratic leadership Nov 5, 2024?
$2K15 tradersResolved
1%
Will Donald Trump be fined by a judge for additional misbehavior in any of his trials in the month of November?
$1K15 tradersResolved
4%
Will there be election violence by Inauguration Day?
$1K39 tradersResolved
82%
Will Jimmy Kimmel file a slander lawsuit against Aaron Rodgers by midnight January 31, 2024?
$6156 tradersResolved
3%
Will Draymond Green be reinstated to the Warriors by midnight Dec 31, 2023?
$3864 tradersResolved
3%
Will Oregon beat Washington today?
$3576 tradersResolved
4%
Will Cleveland Browns beat the Texans on Sunday 12/24?
$1826 tradersResolved
78%
Will a 4th defendant plead guilty in the GA election interference case by Nov 10?
$702 tradersResolved
85%
Will any others in the Georgia election interference case plead guilty and agree to testify against Trump by October 31?
$202 tradersResolved
66%