Manifold Creator
Dialethia
@Dialethia
Markets by Dialethia
What will be the margin in the FL-01 House special election?
$6K7 tradersResolved
—
How many tie-breaking Senate votes will JD Vance cast by June 30?
$4K6 tradersclosed
—
How long will it take Jersey Jerry to hit a hole in one?
$3K11 tradersResolved
—
Results of the UMA "Will Trump sanction Russia before March" vote?
$2K9 tradersResolved
—
How many votes in the Senate for a continuing resolution by March 14?
$2K7 tradersResolved
—
How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit?
$2K5 tradersclosed
—
Is Damascus going to fall before Valentine's day 2025?
$2K7 tradersResolved
99%
How many votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as DNI by April 30?
$2K23 tradersResolved
—
On and after which days will Biden NOT announce resignation? (October 1 - October 10)
$2K12 tradersResolved
—
# of attempts for Kai and Speed to beat Fortnite?
$2K4 tradersResolved
—
BIden drops out before July 5?
$1K6 tradersResolved
1%
On and after which days will Biden NOT announce resignation? (November 19 - November 28)
$1K12 tradersResolved
—
Will Bitcoin reach 100k before Valentine's Day? (February 14)
$1K15 tradersResolved
99%
Will CRO be worth more than 15 cents before April 28?
$1K4 tradersResolved
1%
Confirmed case of Clade 1 Monkeypox in the US before September?
$1K13 tradersResolved
1%
On and after which days will Biden NOT announce resignation? (November 29 - December 8)
$1K10 tradersResolved
—
Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? [Polymarket]
$1K16 tradersResolved
1%
Will Biden take a cognitive test before 4/27?
$1K6 tradersResolved
1%
On and after which days will Biden NOT announce resignation? (December 29 - January 7)
$1K12 tradersResolved
—
Will either Trump or Biden sit down at any point during the June 27th debate?
$1K4 tradersResolved
1%
Will 10 or more Democratic Senators call for Biden to drop out before July 20?
$1K4 tradersResolved
1%
Lab grown meat commercially available in the US by the end of 2024?
$1K10 tradersResolved
1%
On and after which days will Biden NOT announce resignation? (October 31 - November 9)
$1K13 tradersResolved
—
Before which days will Biden NOT announce resignation (September 1-10)
$9883 tradersResolved
—
BTC price below 50k by May 14?
$98212 tradersResolved
1%
By when will I fail No Nut November? (November 11 - November 20)
$97712 tradersResolved
—
Will Donald Trump drop out of the presidential race before 4/29?
$9556 tradersResolved
1%
Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?
$95411 tradersResolved
1%
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin today? [February 5]
$9538 tradersResolved
1%
Before which days will Biden NOT announce resignation (September 11-20)
$9502 tradersResolved
—
Which days will Biden NOT announce resignation (August 22 - August 31)
$9503 tradersResolved
—
Which Senators will vote to confirm Kash Patel?
$9374 tradersResolved
—
BTC price below $54,321 USD before May 7th?
$90813 tradersResolved
1%
Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?
$90511 tradersResolved
99%
On and after which days will Biden NOT announce resignation? (January 8 - January 20)
$90310 tradersResolved
—
On and after which days will Biden NOT announce resignation? (October 21 - October 30)
$9011 tradersResolved
—
On and after which days will Biden NOT announce resignation? (September 21-30)
$9013 tradersResolved
—
On and after which days will Biden NOT announce resignation? (October 11 - October 20)
$9011 tradersResolved
—
Which days will Biden NOT announce resignation? (August 12 - August 21)
$9011 tradersResolved
—
Which days will Biden NOT announce resignation? [August 2 - August 11]
$9012 tradersResolved
—