Manifold Creator
D
@Dfe2f
Markets by D
Will reddit have been "replaced" by July of 2025?
$17K60 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be an AI "lost manuscript" hoax by the end of 2025?
$8K24 tradersResolved
2%
Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?
$7K73 tradersopen
4%
If Donald Trump is re-elected, how many times will he be impeached during his second term?
$2K31 tradersopen
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Eliezer Yudkowsky p(Doom) stock
$1K15 tradersopen
93%
Will at least one of the Beatles still be alive in 2030?
$98813 tradersopen
79%
Will a Yarvinist government exist by 2050?
$72514 tradersopen
7%
If Trump is inaugurated, will he do the funny thing from the Curtis Yarvin article?
$7089 tradersResolved
2%
Will the ultimate end of humanity be converting as much of the universe into minds experiencing pleasure as possible?
$62324 tradersopen
20%
Will anyone cryopreserved before the creation of this question ever be revived?
$3478 tradersopen
16%
Will I fix my sleep schedule by July 11th?
$22913 tradersResolved
36%
By 2050, will any world leader have advocated for "utilitarian Von Neumann machines"?
$1327 tradersopen
49%
Will Stolas die in Helluva Boss?
$655 tradersopen
19%
Recommend me bands that sound similar
$00 tradersopen
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Would you press a button that would transform all matter in the universe into hedonium?
$020 tradersopen
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M500 bounty to whoever can spread my idea the most
$00 tradersResolved
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