Manifold Creator
Devansh
@Devansh
Markets by Devansh
Which team will win the Prometheus Science Bowl tournament?
$109K88 tradersResolved
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Will I bench 225 by September 2023?
$56K98 tradersResolved
3%
Which college will I commit to in May?
$52K36 tradersResolved
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Will we get into Y Combinator?
$38K38 tradersResolved
4%
Will Nate Silver leave 538 by the end of 2023?
$32K42 tradersResolved
99%
Will Claire get into Stanford?
$11K24 tradersResolved
98%
Will Sam Altman be convicted of a felony by 2027?
$8K48 tradersopen
8%
Will I stop having COVID by noon PDT on Monday, Oct 31?
$8K20 tradersResolved
89%
Will I get into Stanford in 2023?
$7K29 tradersResolved
12%
Conditional upon me trying, will I become POTUS by 2100?
$4K33 tradersopen
12%
Will I get a verified check on Manifold by July 2023?
$3K32 tradersResolved
5%
How many of {Harvard, Stanford, Yale, MIT, Columbia} will I get into?
$3K12 tradersResolved
3%
Will I get into MIT?
$3K19 tradersResolved
6%
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be in a C-level position at OpenAI at any point before Dec 31 2024?
$3K19 tradersResolved
2%
Will the US and China go to war this century?
$2K47 tradersopen
47%
What two teams will represent the finals bracket of Prometheus Science Bowl?
$2K6 tradersResolved
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Will I go to high school next year?
$2K17 tradersResolved
8%
What will the karma on my college admissions lesswrong post be?
$1K12 tradersResolved
6%
Who will win the Ignis East Prometheus Science Bowl competition?
$1K7 tradersResolved
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What will Uli's rice purity score be in a year?
$1K17 tradersResolved
67%
Where will Claire go to college?
$9598 tradersResolved
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Will I get at least a 3 on both AP Stats and AP Macroeconomics?
$84816 tradersResolved
65%
Will I get a 5 on two AP exams this year?
$80911 tradersResolved
78%
Is Claire secretly an INTJ?
$5978 tradersopen
38%
This question demonstrates adverse selection
$5744 tradersResolved
98%
Which college will I commit to in May?
$5001 tradersResolved
3%
Will 2022 Atlas Fellows launch startups worth >$300 million by the end of 2025?
$2854 tradersResolved
38%
Will I test positive for COVID tomorrow?
$2609 tradersResolved
35%
Will I successfully bake macarons today?
$1505 tradersResolved
7%
Where should I redirect effectiveevil.com?
$477 tradersResolved
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Will Carrick Flynn win the 2022 Democratic primary in Oregon District 6?
$00 tradersResolved
45%
Who will win the Ignis East Prometheus Science Bowl competition?
$00 tradersResolved
50%