Manifold Creator
Desert
@Desert
Markets by Desert
If a famous person bets on the famous person market, who will it be?
$4K32 tradersResolved
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(US x Iran Ceasefire) x (US forces enter Iran)
$3K23 tradersResolved
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US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$1K8 tradersResolved
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Will Fees for Passing the Strait of Hormuz Persist?
$44515 tradersopen
13%
Will any AI model achieve 4k on CodeForces by EOY?
$2576 tradersopen
62%
When will I be able to use Polymarket in the US?
$501 tradersopen
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(AGI before 2050) x (FTSE Global All Cap Index Real Return)
$201 tradersopen
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[short fuse] S&P500 futures overnight gap direction
$51 tradersResolved
48%