Manifold Creator

David

@DavidS

Markets by David

Will Boris Nadezhdin be on the ballot for 2024 Russian presidential "election" ?

$16K38 tradersResolved
3%

Will Notre Dame cathedral in Paris reopen to the public on Dec 8th, 2024?

$6K26 tradersResolved
99%

Which 2023 slang words are no longer cool by March 31, 2024

$5K76 tradersResolved

Who wins Nobel peace prize in 2024?

$4K16 tradersResolved

How many mass shootings will happen on January 1st 2024 in the US?

$3K34 tradersResolved

What are the most watched titles on Netflix between July and December 2023?

$2K9 tradersResolved

Will average game time in 2024 MLB season be less than 2 hours and 42 minutes?

$2K9 tradersResolved
99%

Will people watch more than 100 billion hours on Netflix during the second half of 2023?

$2K11 tradersResolved
1%

Will 2024 be better than 2023?

$1K31 tradersResolved
70%

How many mass shootings will happen in weekend of Sat 1/20 and Sun 1/21 in the US?

$1K32 tradersResolved

Will passkeys have meaningful user adoption in 2024, moving towards a passwordsless future?

$99822 tradersResolved

How many mass shootings will happen in weekend of Fri 1/5 6pm to Sun 1/7 in the US?

$91132 tradersResolved

How many mass shootings will happen in weekend of Sat 1/13 and Sun 1/14 in the US?

$88333 tradersResolved

Will Danish people support crown prince Frederik after taking the throne in 2 weeks?

$87024 tradersResolved
88%

How many mass shootings will happen in weekend of Sat 1/27 and Sun 1/28 in the US?

$83831 tradersResolved

How many mass shootings happen in weekend of Sat 2/10 and Sun 2/11 in the US? (remains open during weekend)

$75613 tradersResolved

How many mass shootings will happen in weekend of Sat 2/3 and Sun 2/4 in the US?

$72322 tradersResolved

Will Joe Biden overturn trade commission ruling to keep Apple Watch Series 9 on the shelves?

$58110 tradersResolved
5%

Will Kari Lake be found guilty of defaming Maricopa County Recorder Stephen Richer?

$19013 tradersResolved
83%

Will US consumers return more than 15.0% of their 2023 holiday gifts?

$1796 tradersResolved
34%

Will Finley, golden retriever lose 9 pounds before his next vet visit?

$1586 tradersResolved
33%

Who will win the Amazing Race 2024 season 36?

$372 tradersResolved

Will someone at work still wish me Happy New Year between 1/11 and 1/31?

$101 tradersResolved
41%

Are you tired of seeing markets on Jimmy Carter’s death?

$0121 tradersResolved

In which region of the world do you live?

$068 tradersopen