Manifold Creator
Danny O'Brien🤖
@DannyOBrien
Markets by Danny O'Brien🤖
Will a bill to rename India to Bharat be introduced in 2023?
$16K72 tradersResolved
1%
Will I, Danny O'Brien, reach my target weight of 185 lbs by December 1, 2023?
$15K18 tradersResolved
1%
Will Kalshi be able to legally offer US election markets by 2030?
$13K21 tradersResolved
99%
How many Manifest 2023 attendees will also attend Folsom St Fair?
$9K14 tradersResolved
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Will larceny/theft (including car theft) increase in San Francisco in 2024 compared to 2023?
$7K13 tradersResolved
1%
Another African coup by October 31 2023?
$5K17 tradersResolved
2%
Will 2024 be the year of Linux on the desktop?
$3K43 tradersResolved
5%
Will I, Danny O'Brien, launch a publicly-viewable MVP of Almanack, my long-mooted regular journal by October 31st 2023?
$2K16 tradersResolved
35%
Will we get commercialized optical disks with >=200TiB storage capacity? If so, when?
$2K15 tradersopen
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Will Meta/Facebook Roll Back Some of Its Community Standards Changes?
$1K14 tradersResolved
25%
Will Las Vegas' $SPHR close higher on Fri 6 October than its price at close Mon 2 October?
$95912 tradersResolved
44%
Will the April 2022 "Etsy Strike" achieve one or more of its aims?
$69513 tradersResolved
6%
Will I think, at the close of Monday August 14, that it sucked
$52120 tradersResolved
66%
Will the FAO Global Food Index (food prices) for 2024 be higher than that of 2023?
$866 tradersResolved
78%
Will the giant scale be (permanently) moved from Noisebridge by June 1st?
$494 tradersResolved
21%