Manifold Creator
Commander Keen
@CommanderKeen
Markets by Commander Keen
Will any one of the ICE members involved in the shooting of Alex Pretti face any consequences at all?
$97K403 tradersResolved
1%
US administration targets South Park Studios?
$23K45 tradersResolved
1%
Will Trump declare the Iran war to be won in the next month?
$20K77 tradersResolved
94%
Will the midterm elections take place on November 3rd?
$15K45 tradersopen
95%
Will temperatures reach 40°C (104°F) this summer in Berlin?
$14K35 tradersResolved
1%
Will the US attack Cuba in the next 30 days?
$13K84 tradersopen
4%
Will the US government try to go after the family of the recent ICE shooting victim?
$13K25 tradersResolved
2%
Will Trump admonish Poland for opening an investigation into the Epstein files?
$13K19 tradersResolved
1%
Will Pam Bondi be arrested over defying the Epstein Files Transparency Act
$12K32 tradersResolved
1%
Air Traffic Controllers that remain on duty get $10k bonus?
$11K24 tradersResolved
97%
Will Trump give himself the Medal of Honor while in office?
$10K40 tradersopen
8%
Will Pete Hegseth face any consequences for the recent second Signal leak?
$9K89 tradersResolved
1%
Will Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?
$7K23 tradersopen
14%
Long gas station queues in Moscow before November?
$7K24 tradersResolved
4%
Will Russia suffer an attack around Orthodox Christmas?
$6K40 tradersResolved
7%
US cancels substantial Tesla/SpaceX contracts or subsidies during the next 30 days?
$6K25 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be widespread heating outages in Moscow this winter?
$6K21 tradersResolved
5%
Germany announces supply of Taurus missiles to Ukraine before April 2025
$6K32 tradersResolved
1%
Will Elon Musk publicly acknowledge any responsibility for Tesla's stock decline by July 1, 2025?
$5K33 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Trump administration go after a SCOTUS justice in 2025?
$5K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested this week?
$5K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025?
$4K15 tradersResolved
2%
Will the US government blame the ICE shooting victim from the 24th of January for their own death?
$4K2 tradersResolved
96%
Will Tehran be evacuated?
$3K6 tradersopen
16%
Long gas station queues in Moscow this year?
$3K10 tradersResolved
6%
Will there be arrests over the Epstein files in the US?
$3K31 tradersopen
28%
Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2025?
$3K21 tradersResolved
5%
Will Trump try to have his face engraved on Mt Rushmore during his second term?
$2K21 tradersopen
22%
Will the US administration attempt to shut down Starlink in Ukraine before June 1st, 2025
$2K23 tradersResolved
1%
Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027
$2K20 tradersopen
12%
Will I receive "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: Why Superhuman AI Would Kill Us All" on time at release?
$2K25 tradersResolved
11%
Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026?
$2K20 tradersopen
16%
Will Jeffrey Goldberg be arrested over the Signal leak by the 1st of October 2025?
$2K26 tradersResolved
3%
Will there be a mass casuality event during Moscow's Victory Parade 2025?
$2K19 tradersResolved
4%
Will Elon Musk challenge someone to a physical fight before the end of 2025?
$2K16 tradersResolved
9%
US administration bans mRNA vaccines?
$2K21 tradersResolved
3%
Will there be another significant accident in a nuclear power plant before 2035?
$2K10 tradersopen
21%
Will the "Sky Shield" proposal and European fighter jets over Ukraine become reality in 2025?
$1K14 tradersResolved
6%
Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?
$1K12 tradersopen
17%
Will there be a general strike in the United States before Trump's second term ends?
$1K19 tradersopen
84%