Manifold Creator
ClubmasterTransparent
@ClubmasterTransparent
Markets by ClubmasterTransparent
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
$129K243 tradersResolved
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What commercials will CNN air during its Biden-Trump debate?
$94K24 tradersResolved
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Will Sam Altman sign a formal agreement to return to OpenAI as described below before NYSE opens Monday?
$72K254 tradersResolved
13%
Conditional on Kristi Noem speaks at RNC, will she mention or reference willingness to kill, or shoot, animals?
$29K14 tradersResolved
1%
Which of the following players will be on the winning Women’s NCAA Championship basketball team?
$28K19 tradersResolved
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Who will Time Magazine select as Person Of The Year 2024?
$12K64 tradersResolved
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Will Donald Trump choose a VP running mate before Travis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift?
$12K19 tradersResolved
99%
Will @strutheo’s market “Will I Slay All 20 Top Creators” drop below 50% for >72 hours during May-June 2024?
$10K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will Nikki Haley imply the 2020 election was not legitimate, or evade the question if asked directly, before Jan 7 2025?
$10K13 tradersResolved
1%
Will at least one OpenAI employee say this week that they have seen Sam Altman in the office doing things?
$4K29 tradersResolved
65%
Will the "culture war" come for AI before end 2024?
$4K44 tradersclosed
11%
Will Travis Kelce sign a pre-nup in 2024?
$4K20 tradersResolved
1%
Conditional on Tucker Carlson interviewing Vladimir Putin in February, will the US officially respond?
$3K38 tradersResolved
7%
Will Trump be incarcerated for contempt of court at any point during his NYC criminal trial?
$3K23 tradersResolved
8%
How many results will a search for "Dark Brandon" on Amazon Prime return on December 17, 2023 ?
$3K21 tradersResolved
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Will Truth Social still be functioning May 1, 2024?
$3K14 tradersResolved
99%
Will Elon Musk be reported to have purchased any of the debt incurred by Twitter by April 30, 2024?
$3K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI on January 1, 2025?
$2K11 tradersResolved
99%
What does Manifold need more of to be sustainable as a profit-making entity and useful predictor?
$2K69 tradersResolved
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According to Manifold users, which possible cause of human extinction by AI needs the most urgent attention?
$1K37 tradersclosed
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Will Truth Social trade on the Nasdaq on March 29, 2026?
$1K13 tradersclosed
50%
What do Manifold users consider the single greatest risk associated with development of AI?
$1K26 tradersResolved
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Will Rudy Giuliani be alive and able to perform Activities of Daily Living on January 1, 2025?
$9275 tradersResolved
99%
Will Sir Cryptomind become a Manifold Partner Creator on or before June 30, 2024?
$7013 tradersResolved
98%
Of these advertising icons, which will still be with us by Super Bowl Sunday 2024?
$6605 tradersResolved
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What is the most terrible advice you have received in your life? Resolves to top 3 I personally think are most terrible.
$59017 tradersResolved
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Will Nikki Haley state the 2020 election was legitimate before January 7, 2025?
$42919 tradersResolved
18%
Will Manifold face an economic crisis if @Mira liquidates their positions and/or stops trading?
$41819 tradersResolved
11%
Manifold Big Pivot: Conditional on at least one user publicly quits within 3 days of reveal, what will be true?
$36016 tradersclosed
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Will Nikki Haley state unequivocally that slavery was a cause of the US Civil War before January 7, 2025?
$2796 tradersResolved
90%
On January 10, will I consider Manifold gives away mana like it's candy?
$23212 tradersResolved
59%
Will Macaulay Culkin make the news within one month of the Emmys? Kid brother Kieran is nominated for Lead Actor.
$2155 tradersResolved
13%
Should US securities law apply to crypto?
$1443 tradersclosed
21%
Will Manifold have an Instagram account by end of 2024?
$1298 tradersclosed
27%
Will a class of investors be certified in a securities lawsuit against FTX and/or SBF before December 31, 2024?
$1153 tradersclosed
14%
A security exists: Alameda shares in Manifold. Will it be worth more than Soviet-era 100 ruble note on January 31, 2024?
$1009 tradersResolved
63%
Which Led Zeppelin album is greatest?
$281 tradersResolved
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Of these 5 classic British bands that never made it in the US, which is best?
$252 tradersclosed
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A real customer walked into a bar in the market below and asked where's the bathroom. Will the bar burst into flames?
$11 tradersResolved
51%
What would bring more life to "Manifold: Live"?
$0187 tradersopen
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