Manifold Creator
Charles Foster
@CharlesFoster
Markets by Charles Foster
Will California SB 942 (California AI Transparency Act) be made law in 2024?
$111K9 tradersResolved
99%
Will entropy-based sampling improve Llama3.1 on reasoning benchmarks in 2024?
$30K91 tradersResolved
12%
Will Anthropic be ordered to pay $1B+ in damages in Bartz v. Anthropic?
$28K55 tradersResolved
1%
By March 2026, will 3+ prominent US politicians advocate for banning open-weight AI models?
$20K66 tradersResolved
3%
Will Salesforce stop hiring software engineers in 2025?
$10K16 tradersResolved
1%
Will top open-weight LLMs in 2025 reason opaquely?
$4K30 tradersResolved
7%
Will Victor Taelin’s new $10K bounty for AI reasoning be claimed by EOY 2025?
$5518 tradersResolved
90%