Manifold Creator

Chad

@ChadCotty

Markets by Chad

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by…?

$102K67 tradersResolved

2nd largest company end of April 2026?

$61K67 tradersResolved

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in July 2025?

$45K116 tradersResolved
1%

3rd largest company end of April 2026?

$44K48 tradersResolved

2nd largest company end of September?

$35K43 tradersResolved

3rd largest company end of March 2026?

$34K44 tradersResolved

Assuming Donald Trump is sworn in as President, will he pardon Hunter Biden before January 1, 2026?

$34K45 tradersResolved
2%

2nd largest company end of November?

$33K40 tradersResolved

2nd largest company end of March 2026?

$29K34 tradersResolved

2nd largest company end of January 2026?

$28K39 tradersResolved

2nd largest company end of October?

$25K37 tradersResolved

2nd largest company end of 2025?

$24K40 tradersResolved

3rd largest company end of February 2026?

$23K45 tradersResolved

Will US forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil tanker in 2025?

$22K60 tradersResolved
99%

3rd largest company end of January 2026?

$21K17 tradersResolved

Will Saudi Arabia and Israel announce the establishment of official diplomatic relations before the end of 2025?

$20K50 tradersResolved
1%

2nd largest company end of February 2026?

$18K35 tradersResolved

3rd largest company end of 2025?

$12K10 tradersResolved

Will the ICC Pre-Trial Chamber grant both of the arrest warrants proposed against Netanyahu and Gallant?

$7K9 tradersResolved
99%

Whom will Trump choose as his first White House Press Secretary for his second term?

$7K5 tradersResolved

2nd largest company end of 2026?

$3K19 tradersopen

How many regular season games will the Atlanta Braves win during the 2024 season?

$3K14 tradersResolved

3rd largest company end of 2026?

$3K7 tradersopen

Will Iran respond to Israeli air strikes with an attack larger than 4/13 within the next 72 hours?

$2K7 tradersResolved
1%

Will there be a catastrophic terrorist attack that occurs within a US state on or before July 31, 2024?

$2K28 tradersResolved
6%

Conditional on a floor vote, how many Democrats will vote AGAINST the proposed motion to vacate the House Speaker?

$59516 tradersResolved

What will be the highest regular season win total for a team during the 2024 MLB season?

$2257 tradersResolved

Will the IDF invade Rafah even if a hostage deal is reached beforehand?

$2256 tradersResolved
84%