Manifold Creator
Cate Hall
@CateHall
Markets by Cate Hall
Will Biden step aside/withdraw from the U.S. Presidential race prior to the Democratic National Convention?
$48K187 tradersResolved
99%
Will the $450 million fraud judgment against Donald Trump stand?
$26K103 tradersclosed
10%
Will there be more than 10 laboratory-confirmed human deaths from H5N2 by the end of 2024?
$19K49 tradersResolved
1%
Which of the following will happen in the 2024 Presidential election? [ADD YOUR OWN ANSWERS (**see note**)]
$19K62 tradersResolved
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Will Nikki Haley receive more than 18.0% of votes in the Michigan GOP primary on Feb. 27?
$17K23 tradersResolved
100%
Will more than 5% of Michigan Democratic primary votes on Feb. 27 be "uncommitted"
$17K24 tradersResolved
100%
Will the Manifold Creator Partner Program be seen as unsuccessful by EOY 2024?
$12K50 tradersResolved
76%
Will more than 12% of Michigan Democratic primary votes on Feb. 27 be "uncommitted"?
$9K21 tradersResolved
99%
Will any of the Top 3 labs release an initial commitment regarding AI consciousness prior to January 1, 2025?
$8K43 tradersResolved
4%
Will Biden's net approval rating decrease following the State of the Union address?
$5K32 tradersResolved
4%
Will any of the Top 3 labs release an initial commitment regarding AI consciousness prior to June 1?
$3K23 tradersResolved
3%
Will SBF initiate an appeal prior to April 15, 2024?
$2K6 tradersResolved
98%
When will Anthropic release its initial round of ASL-4 commitments?
$2K6 tradersResolved
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Will the US Supreme Court hear an appeal from the Alabama Supreme Court ruling that frozen embryos are children?
$33510 tradersResolved
15%