Manifold Creator
Carolanne Jiang
@CarolanneJiang
Markets by Carolanne Jiang
Will I be glad I started tweeting? (3-month self-experiment)
$3849 tradersopen
56%
How many of my night market ideas will get adopted at Manifest 2026?
$2952 tradersopen
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Which philosophy subfields will be represented by 3+ PhD-holders at Manifest 2026?
$2476 tradersopen
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Will I catch an illness before Manifest 2026?
$20713 tradersopen
15%
Will I read a serious book for its own sake in the next 2 months?
$733 tradersopen
70%
What portion of minifest attendees will say minifest was too long?
$463 tradersResolved
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Will I regret going back to school by the end of my first quarter?
$394 tradersopen
25%
What portion of minifest attendees will say minifest was too short?
$324 tradersResolved
—
What portion of minifest attendees would express a wish that minifest offered dinner instead of lunch?
$302 tradersResolved
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How many formal epistemologists will attend Manifest 2026?
$192 tradersopen
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Will I submit a transfer application to Stanford by Mar 15, 2027?
$51 tradersopen
14%
Will I drop out of college?
$00 tradersResolved
70%