Manifold Creator
Calibrate
@Calibrate
Markets by Calibrate
Manifold Plays Twenty Questions [Ṁ1000 prize - READ DESCRIPTION]
$91K65 tradersResolved
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Which Premier League team will win the MacGuffin?
$47K19 tradersResolved
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Which teams will be relegated from the 2025-26 Premier League?
$25K59 tradersopen
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How many Oscars will Emilia Pérez win at the 97th Academy Awards?
$20K16 tradersResolved
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How many total points will be scored in Super Bowl LIX? (Goalpost Edition)
$15K11 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2024 Disc Golf World Championships (MPO division)?
$12K4 tradersResolved
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Will creator fees return to Manifold in 2024?
$12K11 tradersResolved
99%
2024-25 NFL season: Will there be a prime number of Amazon Prime primetime prime games?
$11K18 tradersResolved
1%
Rescuing Bayesian: Will both Mike Lynch and @Bayesian be afloat by September 1?
$11K17 tradersResolved
99%
Will Kristin Tattar win the 2024 Disc Golf World Championships (FPO division)?
$11K4 tradersResolved
1%
GeoGuessr World Cup 2024: Who wins it all?
$10K13 tradersResolved
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At the end of January 2025, the Wikipedia page on the United States' highest mountain peak will be titled...
$8K45 tradersResolved
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Will any xkcd comic published in 2025 reference xkcd's 20th anniversary?
$8K32 tradersResolved
3%
Megamarket! Which restaurants will Reviewbrah review food from AGAIN before the end of 2024?
$6K1 tradersResolved
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How many US states will Sweepstakes be available in by the end of 2024?
$5K14 tradersResolved
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Whale vs. Minnows: Will the Masters League winner outearn all Bronze League division winners combined for August 2024?
$4K13 tradersResolved
93%
How bright will Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS get?
$3K8 tradersResolved
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How many votes would I need to flip to change partisan control of the House of Representatives?
$7502 tradersResolved
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This market resolves YES once I earn back my Ṁ100 ante in fees.
$3138 tradersResolved
92%
[VERY SHORT FUSE] Who will win the North American Scrabble Players' Championship in South Bend?
$2673 tradersResolved
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Will we get No Mana before we get no mana?
$2221 tradersResolved
60%
[short fuse] Who will win the 2025 Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass?
$1001 tradersResolved
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Manifold Plays Twenty Questions [Ṁ1000 prize - READ DESCRIPTION]
$654 tradersResolved
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GeoGuessr World Cup 2024 Group Stage: Who makes it to the knockouts?
$202 tradersResolved
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[VERY SHORT FUSE] Who will win tonight's exhibition penalty shootout between Arsenal and Manchester United?
$00 tradersResolved
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How large is your Manifold Sweepstakes gift?
$018 tradersopen
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