Manifold Creator
Cade Mataya
@CadeMataya
Markets by Cade Mataya
Will the Effective Altruism Movement experience another major scandal not related to FTX by the end of 2023?
$69K318 tradersResolved
98%
Will a candidate that is neither backed by the Republican Party or the Democratic Party run in the 2024 United States presidential election and receive at least 5% of the national popular vote?
$12K29 tradersResolved
2%
Will Jeb (!) Bush get at least one electoral vote in the 2024 United States Presidential Election?
$5K15 tradersResolved
1%
Will any major EA Organization shut down by the end of 2023?
$2K27 tradersResolved
95%
Will there be a serious neo-Luddite movement (complete with major organizations and funding topping ~$1 Million USD) by 2030?
$2K44 tradersopen
73%
Will Manifold Markets punish Isaac King for market manipulation?
$5253 tradersResolved
2%
Will I be admitted to LSE's MSc Philosophy and Public Policy program in 2023?
$1567 tradersResolved
45%