Manifold Creator
Cactus Hunter
@CactusHunter
Markets by Cactus Hunter
What will be the margin in the Wisconsin Supreme Court election?
$28K26 tradersResolved
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Will Biden drop out before July 27th?
$7K54 tradersResolved
100%
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
$4K16 tradersResolved
1%
2025 February hottest on record? (resolves from GIStemp data)
$3K10 tradersResolved
1%
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
$2K15 tradersResolved
99%
Will Biden say "Jill" during his drop out speech? (Currently scheduled July 24)
$2K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will Jimmy Carter come back to life before 2030?
$2K14 tradersopen
1%
How many votes to confirm Kristi Noem as Sec. of Homeland Security by April 30?
$2K11 tradersResolved
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September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Resolves from GISTemp data)
$2K4 tradersResolved
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Was the Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?
$2K20 tradersResolved
1%
2025 March hottest on record? [Resolves from GISTemp data]
$2K7 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be an Acting President again before EOY?
$2K6 tradersclosed
1%
Biden more likely than Trump in FiveThirtyEight Forecast on July 1?
$2K10 tradersResolved
99%
Margin of victory for Marjorie Taylor Greene?
$1K7 tradersResolved
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Kai and Speed win Fortnite today? (Febuary 4th Eastern Time)
$1K5 tradersResolved
1%
Will Kamala say context in August?
$1K17 tradersResolved
99%
Will October 2024 be the hottest October on record? (resolves according to GIStemp data)
$1K12 tradersResolved
1%
Will September 2024 be the hottest September on record? (resolves according to GIStemp data)
$1K15 tradersResolved
1%
Will November 2024 be the hottest November on record? (Resolves from GIStemp data)
$1K10 tradersResolved
1%
October 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Resolves from GISTemp data)
$1K7 tradersResolved
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Will Trump say Obama during the debate?
$1K13 tradersResolved
99%
2025 January hottest on record? (Resolves from GISTemp data)
$1K13 tradersResolved
99%
Will any Covid vaccine lose its FDA approval this year? [Kalshi]
$1K29 tradersResolved
2%
Ethereum above $2,500 on September 27?
$1K4 tradersResolved
99%
Solana above $240 on February 7?
$97110 tradersResolved
1%
Trump's January 10 sentencing pushed back?
$94315 tradersResolved
1%
Trump fires campaign manager before election?
$94212 tradersResolved
1%
2024 August hottest on record? (Resolves from GISTEMP data)
$9298 tradersResolved
99%
Will Schoof resign as Netherlands PM in 2024?
$9175 tradersResolved
1%
Trump prison time in hush money sentence before election day?
$9004 tradersResolved
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Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates? [Polymarket clone]
$8956 tradersResolved
99%
Will SpaceX's Starship orbit any satellites in 2024?
$8953 tradersResolved
1%
Will France lose visa-free access to any African nation before 2025?
$8855 tradersclosed
1%
How many votes to confirm Howard Lutnick as Secretary of Commerce by April 30?
$6576 tradersResolved
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If the identity of Satoshi is ever definitively proven, who will it be?
$40022 tradersopen
—
Will Google reach net-zero carbon emissions before 2030?
$122 tradersopen
44%
Which of the following states will have more write-in votes (scattered) for the presidential election than in 2020?
$31 tradersclosed
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