Manifold Creator
Cactus
@Cactus
Markets by Cactus
Recession in 2024?
$84K239 tradersResolved
1%
US Recession in 2025?
$41K76 tradersResolved
1%
Oil Price (WTI) today?
$38K15 tradersResolved
—
From now, will Google announce layoffs of another batch of workers before the end of 2023?
$32K113 tradersResolved
72%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31st?
$21K27 tradersResolved
6%
Average tariffs under Trump
$12K54 tradersopen
—
Minimum monthly Google search engine market share <80% in 2023
$12K18 tradersResolved
0%
Housing market declines 30% from peak by start of 2024
$8K14 tradersResolved
0%
Will Job Listings for Software Developers Return to Pandemic Lows before 2024?
$7K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be an Arctic Blue Ocean Event by 2030?
$7K14 tradersopen
15%
Minimum monthly Google search engine market share <90% in 2023
$6K8 tradersResolved
0%
From now, will Google lay off more than 8000 workers before the end of 2023?
$4K8 tradersResolved
99%
Will I retire this year? And how will that affect my well-being?
$4K26 tradersopen
—
Housing market declines 5% from peak by start of 2024
$4K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will I weight less than 149 lbs on the morning of the market close date?
$4K11 tradersResolved
99%
Google releases folding smartphone in 2023
$3K11 tradersResolved
100%
Will Google Q2 2023 Earnings Meet Analyst Expectations?
$3K7 tradersResolved
100%
Housing market declines 10% from peak by start of 2024
$3K6 tradersResolved
0%
From now, will Google announce layoffs of >=0.5% of workers before the end of 2023?
$2K28 tradersResolved
16%
Will this market close at 90%?
$2K26 tradersResolved
7%
Will I lock in this weekend?
$2K7 tradersResolved
99%
Will SBF make an escape attempt before 2024?
$2K15 tradersResolved
2%
What makes people happy? [Resolves to LLM deep research]
$2K27 tradersopen
—
Will this market close at 5%
$2K19 tradersResolved
6%
Will I weigh less than 149lbs by market close?
$1K19 tradersResolved
99%
When will my mana net worth reach an all time high again?
$1K5 tradersResolved
—
Can my roommate tell the difference between diet coke and coke zero?
$1K30 tradersResolved
73%
Will using paper towels to wipe my ass result in major plumbing issues?
$1K21 tradersclosed
35%
Will low risk stocks outperform the market from now until 2026 (sharpe ratio)?
$9557 tradersResolved
1%
I used the boost feature. Will it get me at least 50 unique promoted viewers?
$9073 tradersResolved
99%
Will I weigh less than 149lbs at market close?
$82810 tradersResolved
99%
Global population less than 1 billion by 2100
$82219 tradersopen
17%
How High will Crude Oil Volatility get next week?
$76710 tradersResolved
—
Will I still have pain in my FCU tendon by the end of the year?
$7432 tradersResolved
0%
Who will be the "best" trader of 2026 on Manifold?
$73110 tradersopen
—
Resolves to YES tomorrow with 5% probability
$58714 tradersResolved
6%
CPI data released for October 2025?
$5868 tradersResolved
3%
Resolves to YES in 2030 with 5% chance
$56110 tradersopen
6%
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
$53811 tradersopen
9%
Google announces a folding smartphone in 2023
$5325 tradersResolved
97%