Manifold Creator
CAM21
@CAM21
Markets by CAM21
Will Bill Gates make an AI Safety-related donation before January 1, 2025?
$4K20 tradersResolved
3%
If Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?
$2K14 tradersopen
15%
Will Donald Trump be the last US president?
$1K35 tradersopen
5%
Will I have a new phone by the end of 2024?
$1K16 tradersResolved
14%
Does the Catholic Pope truly believe that God exists?
$65215 tradersResolved
85%
Conditional on Trump winning the 2024 election, are we living in a simulation?
$21813 tradersResolved
29%
Will Open Philanthropy extend more grant funding to GCRs & longtermism than Global Health and Wellbeing in 2024?
$1659 tradersclosed
40%
Will the USG centralize frontier AI development in a single government project?
$1404 tradersopen
57%