Manifold Creator
Benjamin Cosman
@BenjaminCosman
Markets by Benjamin Cosman
If Scott Alexander enters the 2023 ACX Book Review Contest, he will be announced as 3rd place or better.
$6K35 tradersResolved
57%
In the "to face the death" glowfic thread, will the patient regain consciousness?
$3K24 tradersResolved
100%
If Scott Alexander enters the 2023 ACX Book Review Contest, he will be announced as a finalist
$2K19 tradersResolved
94%
In "be swallowed up by the sun", will there be at least 10 deaths?
$2K14 tradersResolved
92%
[planecrash] Will the story resume by Aug 21?
$1K16 tradersResolved
1%
[planecrash] Will the story resume by Aug 24?
$95511 tradersResolved
1%
In "be swallowed up by the sun", will there be any True Deaths?
$74816 tradersResolved
21%
Will masks be required in class at UIUC?
$4338 tradersResolved
4%
Will any of my students go above and beyond in their project?
$36710 tradersResolved
81%
Will no-shows be more common than late-adds at my game events?
$702 tradersResolved
26%
[short fuse] Any hecklers at the Israeli Philharmonic tonight?
$324 tradersResolved
62%