Manifold Creator
BayesianTom
@BayesianTom
Markets by BayesianTom
Who will win ACX's Everything-except-book review in 2025?
$100K292 tradersResolved
—
Will a non-swing state flip in the US presidential elections in 2024?
$14K46 tradersResolved
1%
Which "AI 2027" predictions will be right by Late 2026?
$7K69 tradersopen
—
What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2?
$5K13 tradersopen
—
Will there be a dark horse run in the 2026 Fifa World Cup?
$4K13 tradersopen
—
Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?
$1K16 tradersopen
63%
Should I add all known finalists to the ACX's Everything-except-book review market?
$029 tradersResolved
—