Manifold Creator
Bayesian Philosopher
@BayesianPhilosopher
Markets by Bayesian Philosopher
Will this market have at least M$ 5,000 invested AND PROB below 80% at close?
$18K28 tradersResolved
3%
Will someone give $100 to charity in honor of this market?
$5K13 tradersResolved
90%
Will my Manifold portfolio be worth more than M$ 1000 by the end of Feb 2022?
$44913 tradersResolved
81%
Will I get a 4th COVID vaccine before the end of August 2022?
$32421 tradersResolved
26%