Manifold Creator
Basil G
@Basilofsunshine
Markets by Basil G
Will the words "GPT-4" be on a front page of the physical New York Times paper before May 1 2023?
$5K26 tradersResolved
99%
Will GPT-5 be able to create ASCII art?
$4K50 tradersResolved
92%
Will an Anaheim Angel win either Cy Young or MVP this season?
$1K10 tradersResolved
89%
Will 20 people have $40,000 in All Time manifold profit by the end of March?
$1K13 tradersResolved
90%
Will 10% of the House of Representatives have an account on Bluesky by the end of 2023?
$3198 tradersResolved
12%
Will Twitter's fact-checker, Birdwatch, still exist as-is for all users by the end of the year?
$2847 tradersResolved
93%
Will one member of Congress join Bluesky by the end of 2023?
$1887 tradersResolved
75%
The sole elevator in my 6-story building has been broken since March 21. Will it be fixed by the day I move out, May 3?
$172 tradersResolved
60%