Manifold Creator
bandors
@Bandors
Markets by bandors
Half-Life 3 confirmed by EOY?
$474K615 tradersResolved
1%
Will America bomb Iran in 2025?
$412K723 tradersResolved
99%
Will Boeing's Starliner return with an astronaut?
$198K183 tradersResolved
1%
Will my Hantavirus tracking website go viral?
$150K292 tradersResolved
59%
Will the next OpenAI model have a stupid fucking name? [Must be plus-tier accessible]
$99K296 tradersResolved
10%
Assad dead in 2024?
$69K153 tradersResolved
1%
Another MechaHitler in one month?
$42K189 tradersResolved
1%
Iran does something unbelievable in the next two weeks?
$33K176 tradersResolved
2%
I stay in masters this league?
$31K26 tradersResolved
1%
Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]
$30K176 tradersopen
15%
Mojtaba Khamenei dead within 48 hours?
$27K108 tradersResolved
1%
Air India crash cause?
$27K187 tradersResolved
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"Holy shit!" -> my reaction to deepseek r1. Will I feel the same about any AI developments in the next 5 months?
$23K59 tradersResolved
1%
Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
$23K77 tradersopen
4%
Will 30 users or more reply "Merry Christmas" before the end of Christmas?
$23K61 tradersResolved
99%
Will Elon Musk buy Hasbro within 6 months?
$23K29 tradersResolved
1%
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
$20K41 tradersopen
15%
Will OpenAI display ads to free tier users within one year?
$16K31 tradersopen
99%
Will Bad Bunny wear a dress during the Super Bowl Half Time Show?
$16K74 tradersResolved
1%
When will Manifold fix the exploit used on this market?
$16K24 tradersResolved
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'missing minute' in Epstein video released before year end?
$16K42 tradersResolved
96%
Will I get my shit together by the end of the year?
$16K38 tradersResolved
32%
Minnesota senator shooter apprehended in the next two weeks?
$15K51 tradersResolved
99%
American troops in Iran before the end of 2025?
$14K58 tradersResolved
74%
Will Gavin Newsom debate JD Vance within 30 days?
$13K36 tradersResolved
1%
Iran knocks down building in major Israeli city in the next three months?
$13K35 tradersResolved
1%
1000 american troops inside Iran by EOY?
$12K65 tradersopen
15%
Will Russia launch another ICBM or IRBM in 2024?
$11K53 tradersResolved
3%
Will Pavel Durov Die before being released from captivity?
$10K46 tradersResolved
4%
Will OpenAI launch or announce something new on ChatGPT’s anniversary tomorrow?
$10K35 tradersResolved
4%
Was the Hezbollah pager attack caused by supply chain compromise OR cyber attack?
$10K47 tradersResolved
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Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [actually]
$9K37 tradersopen
1%
Will something happen in Iran this month?
$9K57 tradersResolved
3%
Steam Frame under $750?
$8K54 tradersopen
13%
If America bombs Iran, will any nation defend them?
$7K12 tradersResolved
2%
Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?
$7K61 tradersopen
26%
Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
$7K30 tradersopen
4%
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?
$7K32 tradersResolved
5%
Young Thug free in 2024?
$6K22 tradersResolved
91%
How will Donald Trump die? (Add your own answer!)
$6K43 tradersopen
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