Manifold Creator
Baba Ghanoush
@BabaGhanoush
Markets by Baba Ghanoush
Will Nick Sirianni be the head coach of the Eagles at the start of the 2025 season?
$10K10 tradersResolved
99%
Will Roy Cooper run for and be elected Senator for North Carolina in 2026?
$6K14 tradersopen
91%
Will the Lakers fire JJ Redick before his 4-year contract ends (in June 2028)?
$2K12 tradersopen
56%
China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips
$61818 tradersopen
10%
QB Tanner McKee starts at least 3 NFL regular season games in '25 season?
$3285 tradersResolved
10%
Will Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026?
$32010 tradersopen
17%
How many NBA teams will forfeit a first-round draft pick in '25-2026 because they circumvented the salary cap?
$1504 tradersopen
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Trump orders mandatory AI predeployment evals by end of August
$1468 tradersopen
16%
Will David Portnoy either run for office or serve in a presidential administration by EOY 2026?
$965 tradersopen
33%
Will Trump/Vance give Ken Paxton a position/title in the federal govt?
$501 tradersopen
31%
Trump attempts to reduce DARPA funding by EOY 2026?
$422 tradersopen
42%
Do you think Russia has some dirt on Trump a la Steele dossier that can explain a lot of his political decision making?
$025 tradersopen
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Does moving up each tier significantly improve odds of surviving an AI-related catastrophe that kills > 75% of world?
$06 tradersopen
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