Manifold Creator
Brian T. Edwards
@BTE
Markets by Brian T. Edwards
Who will be Time Magazine's 2024 Person of the Year?
$3.0M2,016 tradersResolved
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Will Republicans take the majority in the US Senate in 2024?
$1.3M461 tradersResolved
99%
Will Trump be charged by the DA in Fulton County Georgia for his attempts to overturn election in Georgia?
$559K234 tradersResolved
100%
Will Yevgeny Prigozhin be killed during 2023?
$420K439 tradersResolved
100%
Will Lex Fridman create a market on Manifold by the end of 2023?
$372K146 tradersResolved
100%
Will Ron Desantis announce he is seeking the GOP nomination by the end of May
$371K173 tradersResolved
99%
Will China convene and mediate peace negotiations between representatives of Ukraine and Russia by the end of 2023?
$254K205 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be a military conflict between Israel and Iran during 2023?
$239K777 tradersResolved
92%
Will a Delaware judge order Elon Musk to complete the twitter deal at the original terms?
$224K222 tradersResolved
5%
What states will Biden visit during the rest of 2024?
$222K41 tradersResolved
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Will Mike Pence endorse Trump?
$221K296 tradersResolved
1%
Will the House of Representatives vote to expel George Santos by the end of 2023?
$215K234 tradersResolved
100%
Will I be part of a team that launches a competitor to Manifold by the end of 2023?
$198K345 tradersResolved
96%
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker of the House?
$191K266 tradersResolved
100%
Will the US and Germany both send tanks to Ukraine by the end of July 2023?
$187K543 tradersResolved
1%
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump?
$179K342 tradersResolved
100%
Will the US government open an investigation into Elon Musk's drug use by the end of 2023?
$158K463 tradersResolved
2%
Will Manifold have a day with 500 or more questions created by the end of 2023?
$147K54 tradersResolved
100%
Who will be the next Speaker of the US House of Representatives?
$141K117 tradersResolved
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Will the government of any country be dissolved or overthrown before June 1?
$139K137 tradersResolved
98%
Will Israel seize and occupy any new previously unoccupied territory by the end of 2023?
$139K610 tradersResolved
96%
Will Google Search include a chatbot at end of March 2024?
$137K255 tradersResolved
4%
Will Putin leave Russia again during 2023?
$128K281 tradersResolved
94%
Will Donald Trump be charged with violating the Espionage Act?
$125K96 tradersResolved
98%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be on the GOP ticket in 2024?
$125K117 tradersResolved
1%
Will Xi Jinping visit the US by the end of 2023?
$124K291 tradersResolved
100%
Will Bibi Netanyahu be the Prime Minister of Israel at the end of 2023?
$103K301 tradersResolved
99%
Will Glenn Youngkin run for president in 2024?
$100K116 tradersResolved
2%
Will Blake Masters win the Arizona Senate seat?
$99K137 tradersResolved
2%
Will Rafael Warnock win the Senate seat in Georgia?
$98K175 tradersResolved
100%
Will Joe Biden pardon or commute the sentence of Hunter Biden?
$94K191 tradersResolved
99%
Will Google Search include a chatbot at end of January 2024?
$93K139 tradersResolved
1%
Will Bitcoin close the year above $15,000?
$89K452 tradersResolved
99%
Will Vladimir Putin be reelected President of Russia in March 2024?
$87K96 tradersResolved
100%
Will Manifold work again by the end of July 17?
$86K82 tradersResolved
75%
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
$85K269 tradersResolved
99%
Will George Santos resign from congress by the end of the term?
$81K62 tradersResolved
0%
Will marijuana be rescheduled by the US federal government by the end of 2024?
$80K151 tradersResolved
1%
Will Biden change his mind about running in 2024 by the end of 2023?
$79K144 tradersResolved
1%
Will the record for hottest day be broken again in 2023?
$76K52 tradersResolved
99%