Manifold Creator
Avi Schwartz
@AviS
Markets by Avi Schwartz
Will there be a federal government shutdown on midnight on September 30?
$435K448 tradersResolved
0%
Will Congress approve another Ukraine aid package this year?
$56K260 tradersResolved
2%
Will crude oil crude prices raise to $100 a barrel in 2023?
$43K145 tradersResolved
1%
Will Zelenskyy visit Israel in 2023?
$42K288 tradersResolved
2%
Will the $80 million F-35 stealth fighter jet that disappeared be located within 24 hours?
$29K209 tradersResolved
97%
How many days will the October 2023 Gaza-Israel conflict last before a ceasefire is declared?
$23K53 tradersResolved
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Will a terror attack occur on United States soil in relation to the Hamas-Israel war?
$19K51 tradersResolved
1%
Will Argentina adopt the US dollar as legal tender in 2024?
$18K84 tradersResolved
4%
Chechen Leader Ramzan Kadyrov dies this year?
$14K53 tradersResolved
2%
Will escaped murderer Danelo Souza Cavalcante elude capture for another week?
$10K46 tradersResolved
13%
Will Hurricane Lee reach Category 5 strength?
$10K36 tradersResolved
99%
Will dual-citizens in Gaza be allowed to evacuate to Egypt through certain Border Checkpoints before Israeli invasion?
$9K54 tradersResolved
2%
Will a 2024 presidential candidate die prior to the election?
$9K42 tradersResolved
2%
Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average close above 33,000 points at the end of 2023?
$7K22 tradersResolved
99%
Will the United Auto Workers union strike major car makers this week?
$6K31 tradersResolved
97%
Will a US aircraft carrier deployed to the eastern Mediterranean strike Israeli adversaries in this conflict?
$6K37 tradersResolved
3%
Will Hurricane Lee once again strengthen to a Category 5 Hurricane?
$6K14 tradersResolved
0%
Will President Biden contract COVID this year 2023
$6K33 tradersResolved
3%
Will Israel bomb the Al-Shifa Hospital?
$4K25 tradersResolved
81%
Will Argentina adopt the US dollar as legal tender in 2023?
$3K21 tradersResolved
1%
Will Matt Gaetz get expelled from the House of Republican Congress before the end of 2023
$3K15 tradersResolved
2%
Hunter Biden indicted on federal charges in September 2023
$3K16 tradersResolved
91%
Will the Gaza conflict be a catalyst to kick off something much bigger?
$2K44 tradersResolved
15%
Was Iran directly involved in the logistics of yesterday’s attack on Israel from Gaza?
$2K35 tradersResolved
75%
Will Congress investigate SpaceX and Elon Musk for refusing to activate Starlink in Crimea?
$1K11 tradersResolved
21%
Will Israel bomb the al-Quds Hospital?
$87710 tradersResolved
5%
Will Israel authorize the sale of offensive military equipment to Ukraine?
$81722 tradersopen
63%
Will Trump make a trip to Capitol Hill next week?
$70818 tradersResolved
12%
Will Qatar cut gas supplies to the world if Gaza bombing does not stop?
$65619 tradersResolved
8%
Was Joe Biden directly involved in Hunter's business dealings with Ukraine and China while he served as Vice President?
$51828 tradersResolved
14%
How many bugs will be identified by users in the Manifold app before the end of the year 2023?
$4249 tradersResolved
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How many countries will send by sea a military contingent to the Gaza Strip?
$29912 tradersResolved
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What is the world's worst-governed country?
$797 tradersResolved
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How many days will the war on Gaza last before a ceasefire is brokered?
$653 tradersResolved
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Will any of my questions exceed 1,000 trades
$503 tradersResolved
29%
Is it accurate to say that journalists in general are objective?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will crude oil prices go above $100 a barrel in 2023?
$00 tradersResolved
50%