Manifold Creator
Andy Martin
@AndyMartin
Markets by Andy Martin
(new betting discouraged) How will SalemCenter's "China Reaches 100,000 Covid Cases by Winter" market resolve?
$295K88 tradersResolved
41%
Who will win the 2025 New York City (NYC) mayoral election?
$174K243 tradersResolved
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Will a nuclear weapon be launched in combat by the end of 2023?
$155K294 tradersResolved
1%
Will Binance suspend withdrawals for more than a 7 day period before the end of 2023?
$81K118 tradersResolved
1%
Will the value of Bitcoin pass 100k USD by the end of 2024?
$49K147 tradersResolved
99%
Will Eric Adams complete his current term in office as NYC Mayor?
$30K119 tradersResolved
97%
Will the Moscow stock market mostly re-open by the end of March 2022?
$23K50 tradersResolved
3%
Will chemical weapons be used in Ukraine by the end of 2023?
$17K76 tradersResolved
3%
Will China have over 10,000 COVID-19 cases per day at the end of February 2022?
$15K23 tradersResolved
2%
AMPLIFIED ODDS 10x: Will Binance suspend withdrawals for more than a 7 day period before the end of 2023?
$12K84 tradersResolved
4%
Will Coinbase suspend withdrawals for more than a 7 day period before the end of 2023?
$12K30 tradersResolved
1%
Who will win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
$10K23 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2025 New Jersey state gubernatorial election?
$8K32 tradersResolved
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Will Twitter experience an outage for more than 8 hours by the end of 2022?
$7K43 tradersResolved
3%
Will Google Pay be discontinued by the end of 2025?
$7K24 tradersResolved
2%
Will GCP still be a significant cloud provider by the end of 2025?
$7K17 tradersResolved
99%
HN Hiring Trends: Will "hiring" outnumber "looking" before the end of 2024?
$7K17 tradersResolved
3%
Will Google Fi be discontinued by the end of 2025?
$7K33 tradersResolved
4%
Will Google discontinue the Chromecast product line by the end of 2025 without offering a replacement?
$6K32 tradersResolved
5%
AMPLIFIED ODDS 10x: Will a nuclear weapon be launched in combat by the end of 2023?
$6K41 tradersResolved
10%
Will there be a new COVID variant with an impact greater than Omicron in 2022 or 2023?
$5K36 tradersResolved
3%
[M$5k subsidy] Will any FDA-approved GLP-1 agonists be withdrawn from the market for safety reasons by...
$4K21 tradersopen
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Will Youtube TV be discontinued by the end of 2025?
$4K38 tradersResolved
5%
Will Manifold let users directly sell shares via limit orders by April 2023?
$4K27 tradersResolved
2%
Was Sam Altman's firing related to the pause in ChatGPT Plus sign-ups?
$4K23 tradersResolved
16%
Will Ukraine regain control over all of Svatove by the end of 2022?
$4K21 tradersResolved
2%
Will Manifold use a loan rate that varies by user before the end of 2023?
$3K67 tradersResolved
21%
Will China report 1M daily Covid Cases by March 31, 2023?
$3K21 tradersResolved
32%
Will Kathy Hochul complete her current term in office as Governor of NY?
$3K24 tradersopen
95%
Will Manifold let users "close"/"hide"/"mark as not interested" markets they aren't interested in by April 2023?
$2K15 tradersResolved
98%
Will Manifold let users view something analogous to a "Metaculus Prediction" by April 2023?
$2K16 tradersResolved
1%
What will be the outcome of Putin's possible attendance at the BRICS summit?
$2K9 tradersResolved
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By June 2022, will Putin's decision to invade Ukraine be regarded as a major strategic blunder?
$2K40 tradersResolved
95%
Who will win the 2026 New York state gubernatorial election?
$2K22 tradersopen
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Will the Moscow stock market mostly re-open by the end of May 2022?
$2K16 tradersResolved
18%
Will Manifold's "Create Market" page show the creator a list of possibly related/duplicate markets by April 2023?
$2K9 tradersResolved
2%
When will PATH stop diverting weekend JSQ/33rd St traffic through Hoboken?
$1K6 tradersopen
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Will the "40 mile long convoy" have a meaningfully positive impact for Russia in its invasion of Ukraine by May 2022?
$1K11 tradersResolved
6%
When will PATH run the weekend NWK/WTC line at an interval of every 10m or less?
$9606 tradersopen
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AMPLIFIED ODDS 10x: Will Coinbase suspend withdrawals for more than a 7 day period before the end of 2023?
$91919 tradersResolved
26%