Manifold Creator
Andrew Hartman
@AndrewHartman
Markets by Andrew Hartman
Will Kanye West release a new album in 2023?
$45K109 tradersResolved
3%
Will the House vote on removing Mike Johnson as Speaker as a result of his proposed budget deal?
$14K61 tradersResolved
2%
Will the 2024 US Presidential Nominees meet for at least one formal debate?
$8K42 tradersResolved
98%
Will any of the BRICS countries actually adopt a gold standard by 2025?
$6K48 tradersResolved
4%
Will a bill to eliminate or defund NPR make it to the President's desk by the end of 2025?
$3K31 tradersclosed
88%
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French Presidential election?
$2K26 tradersResolved
96%
How many Americans will die due to political violence in 2024?
$2K32 tradersclosed
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Will Pedro Castillo be imprisoned for attempting to dissolve the Peruvian congress?
$2K20 tradersResolved
96%
Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?
$1K22 tradersopen
5%
Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president?
$1K20 tradersopen
92%
Will Chris Pappas win New Hampshire's 1st District election for the House?
$39210 tradersResolved
74%
Will Matt Welch's prediction of deadly political violence in the US in 2024 hold up?
$3925 tradersclosed
3%
What happened to James Gordon Meek?
$2605 tradersResolved
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Will the FDA approve OTC birth control by the end of February 2023?
$2464 tradersResolved
38%
Will the United States legalize real money prediction markets by June 1, 2023?
$2375 tradersResolved
20%
Conditional on Russia issuing a nuclear ultimatum, will the US or NATO choose to call their bluff?
$17210 tradersResolved
61%
Will the Republicans maintain a majority in the NH State Senate after the 2022 elections?
$704 tradersResolved
71%
Will I remain the top scorer for Nonrival Season 2?
$305 tradersResolved
42%
Will the Supreme Court decide in favor of Rolls-Royce in their current case (against Servotronics)?
$201 tradersResolved
59%
Will the Supreme Court decide in favor of the petitioner in DHS vs. New York?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will the Supreme Court decide in favor of the petitioner in AMA vs. Cochran?
$00 tradersResolved
50%