Manifold Creator
Andrew G
@AndrewG
Markets by Andrew G
Which nominating contests will Donald Trump lose in the 2024 Republican presidential primaries and caucuses?
$481K85 tradersResolved
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Will Jon Tester be reëlected?
$378K88 tradersResolved
0%
Which team will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup?
$303K268 tradersResolved
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Who will be the 2022-23 Gravity Chess Champion?
$290K49 tradersResolved
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Kamala Harris's 2024 popular vote share
$239K388 tradersResolved
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Who will be the Republican presidential nominee in 2024?
$187K248 tradersResolved
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Will Ian Nepomniachtchi be the 2023 World Chess Champion?
$114K191 tradersResolved
0%
Will @derikk have a girlfriend in 2024?
$109K39 tradersResolved
2%
Will DeSantis be the #2 polling candidate nationally the day before the Iowa caucuses?
$100K264 tradersResolved
95%
Which team will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup?
$96K68 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$93K74 tradersopen
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Conditional on Trump and Biden being their parties' respective nominees, will they debate?
$68K30 tradersResolved
96%
If Donald Trump is not the GOP presidential nominee, will it be DeSantis?
$64K233 tradersResolved
18%
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
$57K153 tradersopen
51%
Will Altman "have a new company up by Monday"?
$50K162 tradersResolved
1%
Will Finland get zero points at Eurovision 2023? 🇫🇮
$49K17 tradersResolved
0%
Will Louie get a top-3 finish in the International Gravity Chess Tournament?
$47K5 tradersResolved
2%
What will Trump do during his second term (2025–2029)?
$47K251 tradersopen
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How many named storms will there be in the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season?
$45K36 tradersResolved
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Will I promote to Masters this league?
$44K26 tradersResolved
100%
Will Haley hit 25% in her national polling average?
$43K42 tradersResolved
0%
Will I be a sixteenonaire by 2024?
$42K16 tradersResolved
100%
How many votes will Kamala Harris get in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
$40K83 tradersResolved
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Will someone other than Jeffries, McCarthy, Biggs, Jordan, Banks, Donalds, Zeldin, or Scalise get ≥1 votes for Speaker of the House?
$38K12 tradersResolved
100%
Will the final be France vs Argentina, with France winning?
$37K32 tradersResolved
0%
Who will Nikki Haley announce as her running mate?
$35K21 tradersResolved
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[short fuse] what is Trump's HUGE ANNOUNCEMENT?
$33K113 tradersResolved
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Will Donald Trump's polling average fall below 45% during the primaries?
$32K29 tradersResolved
0%
Will Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2025?
$32K48 tradersResolved
5%
Will DeSantis be the #2 polling candidate in Iowa the day before the Iowa caucuses?
$32K99 tradersResolved
1%
Will I make my flight AA 854 from PHX to MSN?
$31K6 tradersResolved
100%
Will the U. S. President pardon Donald Trump by February 2025?
$31K33 tradersResolved
2%
will h kiss grab deuce n a hundo
$30K6 tradersResolved
0%
Will there be more than 8 Atlantic hurricanes by November 30th?
$30K58 tradersResolved
1%
Will Nikki Haley get more than 37% of the vote in the New Hampshire primary?
$28K24 tradersResolved
100%
Will the U. S. President pardon Edward Snowden by February 2025?
$28K76 tradersResolved
1%
Will Nikki Haley get more than 29% of the vote in the New Hampshire primary?
$28K18 tradersResolved
100%
Will the U. S. President pardon Julian Assange by February 2025?
$28K54 tradersResolved
1%
Will Simon Popovic get a top-3 finish in the International Gravity Chess Tournament?
$28K5 tradersResolved
0%
Will Biden SAVE Harris from a humiliating defeat at the ballot box by mounting a HEROIC write-in campaign and WINNING?
$27K25 tradersResolved
1%