Manifold Creator
Alex Power
@AlexPower
Markets by Alex Power
Letter frequency in the March 25th NYTimes Wordle.
$24K12 tradersResolved
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Will the COVID emergency in the US end on (or before) May 11?
$12K23 tradersResolved
99%
Will the NYTimes Wordle for March 21 start with a vowel?
$8K20 tradersResolved
2%
Will the NYTimes Wordle for March 23 start with a vowel?
$7K29 tradersResolved
2%
Will Sam Bankman-Fried publicly donate at least $5 million to buy solar panels by the end of 2022?
$2K18 tradersResolved
1%
Will Alex Power have a conversation with Elon Musk by the end of July 2022?
$1K14 tradersResolved
7%
Will @TheStalwart have a verified Twitter account by April 15, 2022?
$1K4 tradersResolved
77%
Will Vladimir Putin be removed from power XOR will Russia use a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2022?
$9856 tradersResolved
10%
Will the phrase "resolution risk" appear in the April 4, 2022 ''Mantic Monday'' column?
$8785 tradersResolved
55%
Will the January 2028 Mauna Loa CO2 reading be lower than 427 ppm?
$5133 tradersResolved
3%
Will a publicly-available LLM be able to solve Cryptic Crossword clues by June 30, 2024?
$4627 tradersResolved
11%
Will Ukraine attend the 77th UN General Assembly?
$3905 tradersResolved
95%
Will the Wikipedia article for [[George Washington]] be a Good Article on May 15, 2022?
$1201 tradersResolved
93%
What team will win the 2023 MIT Mystery Hunt?
$704 tradersResolved
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What will the next backend for newslettr.com be?
$494 tradersResolved
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the Comments Section: newslettr.com 2022-19
$202 tradersResolved
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Will the country of Turkey be recognized as "Turkiye" or "Türkiye" at the 77th UNGA in September 2022?
$174 tradersResolved
62%
Will Richard Rapport qualify for the 2022 Candidates Tournament.
$00 tradersResolved
95%